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Elon

Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History

2023 Team Stats (32 games)

65.4
PPG
71.6
Opp
-6.2
Margin
42.5%
FG%
30.2%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
33.7
RPG
12.2
APG
12.3
TO
66.4
Est. poss./game
61.9
Adj PPG
72.7
Adj Opp PPG
#335
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 704 (#331) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 748 (#343) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 915 (#299) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -11.5 (#333) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -12.0 (#339) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.193 (#334) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.7 More โ†’ 0.193 (#334) NetEff -12.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.5 More โ†’ 0.130 (#331) AdjNet -16.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.4 More โ†’ 0.131 (#332) AdjNet -16.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 72.7 More โ†’ 0.273 (#335) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 70.5 More โ†’ 0.321 (#336) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.226 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.234 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 30 More โ†’ 783 (#332) RD 154 | GP 30

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 vs Erskine Flying Fleet W 80 - 56
2022-11-11 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 64 - 77
2022-11-13 vs Harvard Crimson L 77 - 92
2022-11-17 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 73 - 77
2022-11-19 @ NC State Wolfpack L 63 - 74
2022-11-22 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 53 - 78
2022-11-27 vs Radford Highlanders L 53 - 69
2022-11-30 @ High Point Panthers L 70 - 84
2022-12-03 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 61 - 65
2022-12-11 vs Johnson & Wales-Charlotte JOHNSON & WALES-CHARLOTTE W 101 - 69
2022-12-15 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 63 - 69
2022-12-18 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 66 - 71
2022-12-20 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 72 - 96
2022-12-29 @ Drexel Dragons L 50 - 62
2022-12-31 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 52 - 57
2023-01-04 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 66 - 81
2023-01-11 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies L 71 - 80
2023-01-14 @ Charleston Cougars L 60 - 78
2023-01-16 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 54 - 62
2023-01-21 vs Towson Tigers L 62 - 66
2023-01-26 vs Hofstra Pride L 65 - 82
2023-01-28 vs Drexel Dragons W 72 - 58
2023-02-02 @ Stony Brook Seawolves W 69 - 55
2023-02-04 @ Northeastern Huskies W 74 - 73
2023-02-08 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 61 - 66
2023-02-11 vs William & Mary Tribe W 66 - 55
2023-02-13 vs Hampton Pirates W 70 - 68
2023-02-16 vs Charleston Cougars L 66 - 88
2023-02-18 @ Monmouth Hawks W 75 - 68
2023-02-23 @ William & Mary Tribe L 60 - 73
2023-02-25 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 54 - 70
2023-03-04 @ William & Mary Tribe L 51 - 73

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sean Halloran Sean Halloran - 32 33.8 13.0 3.2 4.0 1.8 0.0 2.6 10.8 8.6 -200 30 -6.7 -8.0 41.9 31.3 91.5 -1.42 54.4 49.3
Max Mackinnon Max Mackinnon G 31 29.6 11.4 5.1 2.4 1.1 0.1 2.2 9.5 8.5 -147 29 -5.1 -7.0 49.3 28.4 71.4 -1.37 55.4 53.2
Zac Ervin Zac Ervin - 31 27.4 9.3 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.2 8.7 4.0 -126 29 -4.3 -6.4 35.4 33.3 72.0 1.3 49.3 46.7
Torrence Watson Torrence Watson - 28 26.8 9.2 6.1 1.5 0.5 0.2 1.4 8.5 7.7 -120 27 -4.4 -6.7 34.5 28.9 77.8 -1.41 48.0 42.6
Sam Sherry Sam Sherry - 32 22.9 9.1 4.2 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.2 6.0 7.8 -104 30 -3.5 -6.1 57.8 21.1 68.8 -0.99 62.3 58.9
Deandre Smart Deandre Smart - 4 15.0 9.0 3.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 4.5 8.0 - - - - 72.2 0 58.8 2.61 70.6 72.2
Jerald Gillens-Butler Jerald Gillens-Butler - 17 26.2 8.4 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 1.6 8.1 4.2 -34 16 -2.1 -3.4 36.2 32.1 67.6 0.87 46.3 42.8
JaDun Michael JaDun Michael - 18 15.4 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.8 4.2 2.3 -99 18 -5.5 -14.6 38.7 10.0 56.0 -3.14 42.4 39.3
John Bowen John Bowen - 32 17.3 3.1 3.8 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 2.4 5.1 -137 30 -4.6 -11.1 53.8 36.4 35.5 -4.81 54.0 56.4
LA Pratt LA Pratt G 32 16.5 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 2.8 2.3 -75 30 -2.5 -6.2 35.6 26.0 75.0 -1.02 45.1 42.8
RJ Noord RJ Noord - 14 8.8 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.8 -34 13 -2.6 -13.3 31.0 25.0 46.2 -1.64 36.7 34.5
Andrew Junkin Andrew Junkin C 9 7.9 1.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.7 3.1 -6 8 -0.8 -4.3 50.0 0 66.7 -1.99 60.2 50.0
Austin Williams Austin Williams - 5 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 - - - - 50.0 100.0 0 -2.59 75.0 75.0
Otto Luessenhop Otto Luessenhop - 5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.89 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG