Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | -14.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.4% | 17.6% | -8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -15 (66-81). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trazarien White * | 35 | 12-21 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Amari Kelly * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Jamarii Thomas * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Noah Ross * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Shykeim Phillips * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Donovan Newby | 28 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Maleeck Harden-Hayes | 23 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jamahri Harvey | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Farrar | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric Van Der Heijden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Ervin * | 38 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Sean Halloran * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| LA Pratt * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sam Sherry * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| JaDun Michael * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jerald Gillens-Butler | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Torrence Watson | 23 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| John Bowen | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter