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Elon

Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History

2017 Team Stats (2 games)

62.0
PPG
75.5
Opp
-13.5
Margin
43.2%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
35.5
RPG
15.0
APG
17.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.1
Adj PPG
70.8
Adj Opp PPG
#140
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1035 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1025 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1005 (#171) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +1.2 (#144) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +2.4 (#129) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.564 (#131) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.2 More โ†’ 0.534 (#146) AdjNet +1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.2 More โ†’ 0.534 (#146) AdjNet +1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 70.8 More โ†’ 0.529 (#140) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 70.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 69.4 More โ†’ 0.540 (#137) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.535 (#151) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.537 (#149) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1017 (#159) RD 149 | GP 30

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs William Peace Pacers W 101 - 68
2016-11-14 vs Charlotte 49ers L 95 - 100
2016-11-17 @ South Florida Bulls W 74 - 61
2016-11-23 vs UIC Flames W 91 - 80
2016-11-25 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 85 - 80
2016-11-26 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 72 - 66
2016-11-30 vs Florida International Panthers W 84 - 81
2016-12-04 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 74 - 77
2016-12-06 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 67 - 78
2016-12-10 @ Radford Highlanders L 56 - 68
2016-12-18 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 68 - 53
2016-12-21 vs Duke Blue Devils L 61 - 72
2016-12-28 vs Central Penn Knights W 89 - 60
2016-12-31 vs Charleston Cougars L 54 - 66
2017-01-02 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 63 - 79
2017-01-05 @ William & Mary Tribe L 85 - 88
2017-01-07 vs Towson Tigers W 72 - 61
2017-01-12 vs Hofstra Pride W 96 - 80
2017-01-14 @ James Madison Dukes L 59 - 60
2017-01-19 vs Drexel Dragons W 93 - 73
2017-01-21 vs William & Mary Tribe W 71 - 62
2017-01-26 @ Northeastern Huskies W 51 - 49
2017-01-28 @ Hofstra Pride W 84 - 70
2017-02-02 vs James Madison Dukes W 67 - 61
2017-02-04 @ Charleston Cougars L 58 - 71
2017-02-09 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 74 - 76
2017-02-11 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 77 - 76
2017-02-16 @ Towson Tigers L 66 - 85
2017-02-18 @ Drexel Dragons W 65 - 56
2017-02-23 vs Northeastern Huskies L 104 - 105
2017-02-25 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 81 - 59
2017-03-04 @ William & Mary Tribe L 66 - 71

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Seibring Tyler Seibring F 14 31.7 13.9 6.3 1.2 0.4 0.6 1.9 3.6 16.9 123 28 4.4 5.6 49.0 38.1 63.6 0.7 173.7 56.9
Brian Dawkins Brian Dawkins F 14 25.0 12.4 5.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.3 3.6 14.0 118 28 4.2 6.6 56.0 53.3 50.0 3.17 165.3 64.0
Steve Santa Ana Steve Santa Ana G 14 29.0 11.4 3.6 2.4 1.4 0.2 1.2 4.6 13.1 38 28 1.4 2.0 46.2 39.5 76.9 -1.34 112.4 59.2
Dainan Swoope Dainan Swoope G 14 29.6 10.4 3.3 2.6 0.9 0.0 1.8 2.9 12.5 76 28 2.7 3.6 30.0 26.7 28.6 1.23 169.5 40.0
Luke Eddy Luke Eddy G 14 25.4 6.9 3.4 3.1 0.8 0.3 2.1 1.7 10.5 73 27 2.7 4.3 45.8 40.0 66.7 0.75 180.2 58.3
Dmitri Thompson Dmitri Thompson G 14 24.4 6.6 5.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.3 1.9 11.2 17 28 0.6 1.0 51.9 40.0 25.0 -2.46 161.7 55.6
Sheldon Eberhardt Sheldon Eberhardt G 9 20.1 4.3 3.4 2.8 0.8 0.3 1.2 2.4 8.0 54 14 3.9 9.4 40.9 16.7 50.0 0.35 82.1 45.5
Karolis Kundrotas Karolis Kundrotas F 14 11.1 4.1 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.1 4.8 -1 28 0.0 -0.2 62.5 50.0 75.0 -2.08 146.0 65.6
Patrick Ryan Patrick Ryan - 1 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Christian Hairston Christian Hairston F 14 11.1 2.4 3.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 1.4 4.0 -66 28 -2.4 -10.2 45.0 0 37.5 -4.32 70.2 45.0
Collin Luther Collin Luther C 6 6.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 -15 12 -1.2 -13.8 100.0 0 0 -2.94 200.0 100.0
Jack Anton Jack Anton F 7 4.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.6 -5 15 -0.3 -3.1 100.0 0 0.0 -1.16 104.2 100.0
Ryder Bowline Ryder Bowline - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jack George Jack George - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG