Elon
2017 Team Stats (2 games)
62.0
PPG
75.5
Opp
-13.5
Margin
43.2%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
35.5
RPG
15.0
APG
17.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.1
Adj PPG
70.8
Adj Opp PPG
#140
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1035 (#149) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1025 (#152) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1005 (#171) | HCA +89 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.2 (#144) | HCA +2.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.4 (#129) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.564 (#131) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.534 (#146) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.534 (#146) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.529 (#140) | AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.540 (#137) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.535 (#151) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.537 (#149) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1017 (#159) | RD 149 | GP 30 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | vs | William Peace Pacers | W | 101 - 68 |
| 2016-11-14 | vs | Charlotte 49ers | L | 95 - 100 |
| 2016-11-17 | @ | South Florida Bulls | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2016-11-23 | vs | UIC Flames | W | 91 - 80 |
| 2016-11-25 | @ | Northern Illinois Huskies | W | 85 - 80 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | Cal Poly Mustangs | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2016-11-30 | vs | Florida International Panthers | W | 84 - 81 |
| 2016-12-04 | @ | Georgetown Hoyas | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2016-12-06 | vs | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Radford Highlanders | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2016-12-18 | @ | Saint Peter's Peacocks | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2016-12-21 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2016-12-28 | vs | Central Penn Knights | W | 89 - 60 |
| 2016-12-31 | vs | Charleston Cougars | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2017-01-02 | @ | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2017-01-05 | @ | William & Mary Tribe | L | 85 - 88 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Towson Tigers | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2017-01-12 | vs | Hofstra Pride | W | 96 - 80 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | James Madison Dukes | L | 59 - 60 |
| 2017-01-19 | vs | Drexel Dragons | W | 93 - 73 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | William & Mary Tribe | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2017-01-26 | @ | Northeastern Huskies | W | 51 - 49 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Hofstra Pride | W | 84 - 70 |
| 2017-02-02 | vs | James Madison Dukes | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2017-02-04 | @ | Charleston Cougars | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2017-02-09 | @ | Delaware Blue Hens | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W | 77 - 76 |
| 2017-02-16 | @ | Towson Tigers | L | 66 - 85 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Drexel Dragons | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2017-02-23 | vs | Northeastern Huskies | L | 104 - 105 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | Delaware Blue Hens | W | 81 - 59 |
| 2017-03-04 | @ | William & Mary Tribe | L | 66 - 71 |
2017 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Seibring
|
F | 14 | 31.7 | 13.9 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 16.9 | 123 | 28 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 49.0 | 38.1 | 63.6 | 0.7 | 173.7 | 56.9 |
Brian Dawkins
|
F | 14 | 25.0 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 14.0 | 118 | 28 | 4.2 | 6.6 | 56.0 | 53.3 | 50.0 | 3.17 | 165.3 | 64.0 |
Steve Santa Ana
|
G | 14 | 29.0 | 11.4 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 13.1 | 38 | 28 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 46.2 | 39.5 | 76.9 | -1.34 | 112.4 | 59.2 |
Dainan Swoope
|
G | 14 | 29.6 | 10.4 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 12.5 | 76 | 28 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 30.0 | 26.7 | 28.6 | 1.23 | 169.5 | 40.0 |
Luke Eddy
|
G | 14 | 25.4 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 10.5 | 73 | 27 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 45.8 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0.75 | 180.2 | 58.3 |
Dmitri Thompson
|
G | 14 | 24.4 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 11.2 | 17 | 28 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 51.9 | 40.0 | 25.0 | -2.46 | 161.7 | 55.6 |
Sheldon Eberhardt
|
G | 9 | 20.1 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 8.0 | 54 | 14 | 3.9 | 9.4 | 40.9 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 0.35 | 82.1 | 45.5 |
Karolis Kundrotas
|
F | 14 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4.8 | -1 | 28 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -2.08 | 146.0 | 65.6 |
Patrick Ryan
|
- | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Christian Hairston
|
F | 14 | 11.1 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4.0 | -66 | 28 | -2.4 | -10.2 | 45.0 | 0 | 37.5 | -4.32 | 70.2 | 45.0 |
Collin Luther
|
C | 6 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -15 | 12 | -1.2 | -13.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.94 | 200.0 | 100.0 |
Jack Anton
|
F | 7 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | -5 | 15 | -0.3 | -3.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.16 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
Ryder Bowline
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Jack George
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG