Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -5 (80-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seibring * | 43 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Steve Santa Ana * | 34 | 6-14 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Brian Dawkins * | 33 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Luke Eddy * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dainan Swoope | 35 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sheldon Eberhardt | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Christian Hairston | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaric Armstead * | 43 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Laytwan Porter * | 40 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jaylen Key * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Marin Maric * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 7-14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Dontel Highsmith * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin Thomas | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Austin Pauga | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Levi Bradley | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Noah McCarty | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Eugene German | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter