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Elon

2009 Team Stats (1 games)

62.0
PPG
55.0
Opp
+7.0
Margin
50.0%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
59.3%
FT%
38.0
RPG
11.0
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.1
Adj PPG
69.4
Adj Opp PPG
#298
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 835 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 852 (#280) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More โ†’ 937 (#257) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -10.0 (#300) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -9.6 (#299) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.225 (#293) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.8 More โ†’ 0.154 (#296) AdjNet -14.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.150 (#296) AdjNet -15.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 69.4 More โ†’ 0.300 (#298) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.367 (#295) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.265 (#295) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.277 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 29 More โ†’ 838 (#290) RD 147 | GP 29

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-15 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 47 - 92
2008-11-18 vs Southern Virginia Knights W 83 - 55
2008-11-22 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 65 - 82
2008-11-26 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 67 - 76
2008-12-04 vs Charleston Cougars L 69 - 77
2008-12-06 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 56 - 54
2008-12-19 vs Lees McRae Bobcats W 81 - 52
2008-12-22 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 79 - 76
2008-12-30 @ Maryland Terrapins L 50 - 76
2009-01-05 vs Navy Midshipmen L 62 - 66
2009-01-08 @ Appalachian State Mountaineers L 52 - 76
2009-01-10 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 67 - 74
2009-01-14 @ Davidson Wildcats L 68 - 83
2009-01-17 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 72 - 89
2009-01-22 vs Samford Bulldogs L 51 - 55
2009-01-24 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 86 - 85
2009-01-26 @ Wofford Terriers L 71 - 74
2009-01-29 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 58 - 60
2009-01-31 @ Charleston Cougars W 59 - 53
2009-02-05 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 57 - 54
2009-02-07 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers L 63 - 77
2009-02-09 vs Furman Paladins W 74 - 66
2009-02-12 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 54 - 76
2009-02-14 @ Samford Bulldogs L 47 - 69
2009-02-19 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 72 - 66
2009-02-21 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 72 - 75
2009-02-26 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 75 - 61
2009-02-28 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 66 - 74
2009-03-02 vs Davidson Wildcats L 78 - 90
2009-03-06 @ Wofford Terriers W 62 - 55
2009-03-07 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 78 - 79

2009 Roster

No roster data available for this season.