Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +2 (56-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Urbanus | 37 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Wells | 36 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| A. Dahn | 31 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| D. Nelson | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| D. Eykyn | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Streeter | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. McDowell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Morabbi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Clark | 7 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Brick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Roberts | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Carter | 35 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Long | 32 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Douglas | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| B. James | 30 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| O. Atoyebi | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| M. Sanders | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Spradlin | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Constantine | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Bonney | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter