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Elon

Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

77.9
PPG
78.5
Opp
-0.6
Margin
44.7%
FG%
33.9%
3P%
71.6%
FT%
35.5
RPG
14.5
APG
10.9
TO
80.7
Pace
75.6
AdjO
80.1
AdjD
#228
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 875 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 893 (#261) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 899 (#671) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -4.5 (#230) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +4.6 (#311) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.410 (#231) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -22.0 More → 0.092 (#313) NetEff -22.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.7 More → 0.343 (#229) AdjNet -5.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.7 More → 0.342 (#229) AdjNet -5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 80.1 More → 0.400 (#228) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 80.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 74.1 More → 0.416 (#586) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 74.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.595 (#288) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.539 (#299) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 30 More → 946 (#302) RD 149 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs Belmont Abbey Crusaders W 99 - 51
2025-11-08 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 92 - 90
2025-11-12 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 89 - 96
2025-11-15 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 95 - 84
2025-11-20 @ Miami Hurricanes L 72 - 99
2025-11-24 @ App State Mountaineers W 88 - 53
2025-11-29 vs Mercer Bears L 84 - 91
2025-12-03 vs Furman Paladins L 88 - 97
2025-12-13 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 85 - 79
2025-12-17 vs Richmond Spiders W 73 - 70
2025-12-20 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 81 - 82
2025-12-22 vs Greensboro College Pride W 97 - 63
2025-12-29 vs Northeastern Huskies W 103 - 91
2025-12-31 vs Charleston Cougars L 81 - 85
2026-01-08 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 69 - 64
2026-01-10 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 83 - 82
2026-01-15 @ Northeastern Huskies L 78 - 85
2026-01-22 vs Towson Tigers L 59 - 72
2026-01-24 @ Charleston Cougars L 70 - 80
2026-01-29 vs William & Mary Tribe W 79 - 76
2026-01-31 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 68 - 72
2026-02-05 @ Hampton Pirates L 79 - 87
2026-02-07 vs Drexel Dragons L 77 - 82
2026-02-12 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 54 - 65
2026-02-14 @ William & Mary Tribe W 81 - 78
2026-02-21 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies L 82 - 102
2026-02-26 @ Towson Tigers L 56 - 58
2026-02-28 @ Monmouth Hawks L 57 - 73
2026-03-03 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 57 - 76
2026-03-07 @ William & Mary Tribe L 62 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Cuthrell C. Cuthrell - 30 28.3 19.6 6.5 1.7 1.1 0.4 2.3 13.3 13.6 63 2.9 5.0 48.0 23.8 72.9 0.39 57.8 51.0
B. Cokley B. Cokley - 30 27.0 12.1 3.7 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.9 9.3 7.6 16 0.7 1.4 45.0 37.6 78.6 -0.65 58.4 55.0
K. Klaczek K. Klaczek F 22 27.6 11.2 6.0 2.6 1.1 1.0 2.0 8.2 11.7 124 6.5 11.2 52.5 42.2 62.5 0.69 61.1 59.9
R. Pettus II R. Pettus II G 30 27.3 11.0 3.0 1.2 1.3 0.4 1.8 9.8 5.3 74 3.4 6.1 37.6 36.5 74.6 0.27 51.6 48.6
I. Harrell I. Harrell - 30 26.3 7.5 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.4 5.8 6.6 -6 -0.3 -0.7 44.6 35.8 75.0 -0.07 58.4 55.7
J. Carr J. Carr - 30 25.0 7.4 2.9 4.2 0.6 0.2 1.3 6.3 7.6 70 3.2 6.1 44.2 29.8 67.3 0.25 51.8 48.7
N. Hull N. Hull - 30 18.2 4.8 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.7 4.1 3.2 63 2.9 13.5 40.2 36.6 86.7 0.06 56.4 54.1
C. Middleton C. Middleton - 27 10.2 3.1 3.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 2.4 4.6 33 1.7 10.6 56.9 0 71.4 -0.17 59.0 56.9
Demarco Johnson Demarco Johnson - 29 14.7 3.0 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.3 1.1 2.2 5.3 70 3.0 9.7 46.0 23.8 57.1 -0.02 53.4 50.0
B. Spell B. Spell - 21 7.1 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.5 0.9 -5 -0.3 -2.1 37.5 0.0 83.3 -0.14 41.9 37.5
Iker Garmendia Iker Garmendia - 14 4.7 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.3 -17 -2.1 -60.4 16.7 20.0 64.3 -0.38 35.2 22.2
A. Williams A. Williams G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 18 6.0 334.9 - - - -0.06 - -
Savion Taylor Savion Taylor G 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
T. O'Neil T. O'Neil G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Alex Brabec Alex Brabec G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Alex Olander Alex Olander - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -1.0 -31.2 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG