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Elon Phoenix

Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History

2015 Team Stats (1 games)

67.0
PPG
85.0
Opp
-18.0
Margin
47.2%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
76.9%
FT%
31.0
RPG
14.0
APG
28.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.0
Adj PPG
63.8
Adj Opp PPG
#141
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1114 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1074 (#115) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +86 elo More โ†’ 1026 (#138) HCA +86 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +1.3 (#144) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +0.7 (#148) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.477 (#181) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.5 More โ†’ 0.544 (#149) AdjNet +1.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.5 More โ†’ 0.543 (#150) AdjNet +1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 63.8 More โ†’ 0.529 (#141) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 63.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 62.7 More โ†’ 0.506 (#164) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 62.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.552 (#139) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.547 (#142) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1069 (#123) RD 117 | GP 30

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Anderson (SC) Trojans W 77 - 72
2014-11-16 vs Navy Midshipmen W 69 - 56
2014-11-21 @ Charlotte 49ers W 67 - 54
2014-11-25 vs Liberty Flames W 73 - 62
2014-11-30 @ High Point Panthers L 71 - 87
2014-12-07 @ NC State Wolfpack L 51 - 84
2014-12-14 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 50 - 66
2014-12-17 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 77 - 51
2014-12-21 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 67 - 85
2014-12-29 vs Furman Paladins W 81 - 71
2014-12-31 vs Lenoir Rhyne Bears W 62 - 46
2015-01-04 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 60 - 50
2015-01-06 vs Drexel Dragons L 47 - 57
2015-01-09 @ William & Mary Tribe W 72 - 59
2015-01-11 vs Charleston Cougars W 77 - 68
2015-01-15 vs James Madison Dukes L 51 - 68
2015-01-18 vs Towson Tigers W 58 - 43
2015-01-22 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 68 - 76
2015-01-25 vs Northeastern Huskies W 80 - 77
2015-01-30 @ James Madison Dukes L 60 - 89
2015-02-05 @ Towson Tigers W 84 - 70
2015-02-08 @ Charleston Cougars W 75 - 71
2015-02-12 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 82 - 86
2015-02-15 vs Hofstra Pride L 53 - 55
2015-02-19 @ Northeastern Huskies W 74 - 73
2015-02-22 vs William & Mary Tribe W 64 - 60
2015-02-27 @ Drexel Dragons L 51 - 54
2015-03-01 @ Hofstra Pride W 64 - 58
2015-03-04 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 77 - 76
2015-03-13 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 60 - 48
2015-03-14 @ James Madison Dukes L 60 - 63
2015-03-19 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 47 - 69

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Coffer S. Coffer G 1 31.0 16.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 7.0 78 26 3.0 4.4 60.0 66.7 0 2.38 80.0 80.0
L. Brown L. Brown G 1 34.0 15.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 8.0 -4 26 -0.2 -0.3 50.0 33.3 100.0 -2.85 66.3 60.0
M. Johnson M. Johnson C 1 20.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 -9 26 -0.3 -0.7 80.0 0 50.0 -2.49 74.0 80.0
J. Rhodes J. Rhodes F 1 19.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 6.0 12 23 0.5 1.5 50.0 0 50.0 -0.16 50.7 50.0
S. Burnett S. Burnett G 1 19.0 8.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 5.0 3.0 67 26 2.6 4.5 60.0 0.0 100.0 3.01 68.0 60.0
E. Baucom E. Baucom G 1 32.0 5.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 7.0 29 25 1.2 1.8 40.0 50.0 0 0.13 50.0 50.0
L. Hudson L. Hudson G 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -8 18 -0.4 -3.4 100.0 0 0 -2.41 100.0 100.0
J. Mbouma J. Mbouma G 1 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -4 18 -0.2 -0.7 0 0 100.0 -1.14 113.6 0
Z. Stephenson Z. Stephenson G 1 24.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -3.0 62 26 2.4 3.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.2 0.0 0.0
S. Cochraham S. Cochraham C 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 15 23 0.7 2.9 0.0 0 0 1.0 0.0 0.0
A. Carter A. Carter - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -35 16 -2.2 -22.8 0 0 0 -5.01 0 0
M. Darrah M. Darrah F 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -2.0 3 21 0.1 1.1 0.0 0 0 -0.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG