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Elon

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Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History
Coach: Ernie Nestor

2005 Team Stats (1 games)

67.0
PPG
85.0
Opp
-18.0
Margin
43.4%
FG%
41.2%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
32.0
RPG
15.0
APG
26.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.1
Adj PPG
65.2
Adj Opp PPG
#284
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 847 (#280) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 808 (#296) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More → 950 (#243) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → -9.5 (#277) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → -7.2 (#258) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.188 (#300) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.6 More → 0.157 (#280) AdjNet -14.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.6 More → 0.155 (#280) AdjNet -14.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.306 (#284) AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.382 (#276) AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 63.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.284 (#278) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.298 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 29 More → 831 (#280) RD 158 | GP 29

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-17 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 73 - 59
2004-11-18 vs NC State Wolfpack L 45 - 71
2004-11-19 vs Oregon State Beavers L 55 - 65
2004-11-23 @ Fairfield Stags L 58 - 59
2004-11-26 @ Richmond Spiders L 66 - 80
2004-11-29 vs Weber State Wildcats L 50 - 57
2004-12-04 vs Greensboro Pride W 66 - 50
2004-12-07 vs Buffalo Bulls L 63 - 70
2004-12-15 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 67 - 85
2004-12-18 @ Weber State Wildcats L 57 - 85
2004-12-21 @ Boise State Broncos L 67 - 83
2004-12-31 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 48 - 71
2005-01-03 vs Bluefield College Ramblin' Rams L 63 - 65
2005-01-05 @ Charleston Cougars L 47 - 66
2005-01-08 vs Davidson Wildcats L 57 - 68
2005-01-10 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 67 - 73
2005-01-15 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 67 - 79
2005-01-18 @ Appalachian State Mountaineers L 62 - 73
2005-01-22 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 64 - 72
2005-01-24 @ Furman Paladins L 51 - 71
2005-01-29 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 67 - 71
2005-01-31 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 54 - 50
2005-02-05 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 62 - 59
2005-02-07 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 80 - 72
2005-02-12 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 49 - 54
2005-02-14 vs Wofford Terriers L 63 - 75
2005-02-19 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 65 - 58
2005-02-22 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 60 - 69
2005-02-26 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers W 58 - 55
2005-03-02 vs Wofford Terriers W 64 - 58
2005-03-03 @ Davidson Wildcats L 53 - 67

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.