Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rice | 31 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| C. Wyatt | 26 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Chalko | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Watson | 24 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| L. Jordan | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Nowlin | 20 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| S. Harris | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Harvin | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Gamble | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Waters | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bucknor | 30 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Scott | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| P. Thomas | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Merritt | 25 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 2-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| P. O'Malley | 24 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| N. Lewis | 23 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| G. Moliva | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Nelson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Mayes | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Crank | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Sanders | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter