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Eastern Kentucky

Also known as: Eastern Kentucky Colonels, Eastern Kentucky
Program History

2019 Team Stats (2 games)

83.5
PPG
88.0
Opp
-4.5
Margin
43.6%
FG%
35.6%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
33.0
RPG
14.0
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.7
Adj PPG
82.7
Adj Opp PPG
#261
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 901 (#246) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 947 (#251) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -6.3 (#258) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -5.3 (#261) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.334 (#266) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.5 More โ†’ 0.296 (#240) AdjNet -7.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.6 More โ†’ 0.293 (#240) AdjNet -7.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 82.7 More โ†’ 0.368 (#261) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 82.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 78.7 More โ†’ 0.416 (#262) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 78.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.349 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.358 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 173 | GP 29 More โ†’ 882 (#258) RD 173 | GP 29

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-07 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 77 - 105
2018-11-10 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 81 - 78
2018-11-13 vs Midway Eagles W 107 - 52
2018-11-16 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 68 - 95
2018-11-17 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 85 - 90
2018-11-19 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 100 - 81
2018-11-28 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 67 - 95
2018-12-01 @ High Point Panthers W 70 - 69
2018-12-05 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 79 - 77
2018-12-08 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 76 - 74
2018-12-15 @ Xavier Musketeers L 77 - 95
2018-12-22 @ Duquesne Dukes L 84 - 85
2018-12-29 vs Brescia Bearcats W 145 - 72
2019-01-03 @ Austin Peay Governors L 75 - 93
2019-01-05 @ Murray State Racers L 85 - 97
2019-01-10 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 81 - 82
2019-01-12 @ Belmont Bruins L 93 - 109
2019-01-17 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 97 - 73
2019-01-19 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 85 - 83
2019-01-24 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 88 - 70
2019-01-26 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 85 - 91
2019-01-31 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers L 66 - 67
2019-02-02 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 82 - 88
2019-02-07 vs Belmont Bruins L 65 - 83
2019-02-09 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 75 - 65
2019-02-14 @ Morehead State Eagles L 72 - 78
2019-02-16 vs Murray State Racers L 70 - 102
2019-02-21 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 67 - 66
2019-02-23 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 101 - 104
2019-02-28 vs Austin Peay Governors W 82 - 80
2019-03-02 vs Morehead State Eagles L 77 - 78

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Mayo Nick Mayo F 24 34.6 22.4 8.6 2.2 1.2 1.7 2.7 3.0 30.5 -102 22 -4.6 -5.6 33.8 31.6 93.9 1.91 314.0 38.0
Jomaru Brown Jomaru Brown G 24 23.7 13.8 3.0 2.0 1.8 0.0 3.0 2.5 15.2 -59 22 -2.7 -4.5 45.8 35.3 62.1 1.06 229.9 50.8
Tay Weaver Tay Weaver G 24 30.1 10.2 3.0 2.1 1.3 0.0 1.6 1.8 13.2 -97 21 -4.6 -6.4 40.9 38.2 0.0 -1.07 271.8 55.7
Kelvin Robinson Kelvin Robinson G 23 23.9 7.7 4.1 3.8 1.3 0.0 2.2 1.2 13.5 -82 21 -3.9 -6.8 35.7 0.0 71.4 -0.69 257.6 35.7
Tre King Tre King - 24 18.3 5.9 4.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.2 0.6 10.5 -10 22 -0.5 -1.0 64.3 0.0 100.0 0.39 385.9 64.3
Lachlan Anderson Lachlan Anderson F 23 16.4 5.8 4.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 1.3 1.6 8.6 -114 21 -5.4 -14.4 37.8 18.8 55.6 -4.47 162.4 41.9
Houston King Houston King G 21 18.3 5.6 1.9 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.7 7.0 -67 19 -3.5 -8.5 26.7 33.3 75.0 -3.14 315.9 40.0
Jordan Oakley Jordan Oakley G 16 10.8 4.6 3.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 7.5 -72 14 -5.1 -18.5 50.0 0.0 42.9 -5.78 245.4 50.0
Peyton Broughton Peyton Broughton G 22 15.0 4.3 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.4 1.3 5.4 -78 20 -3.9 -12.5 34.5 30.0 100.0 -1.84 159.6 44.8
Jacquess Hobbs Jacquess Hobbs G 12 18.7 4.0 2.2 2.2 1.6 0.0 2.1 1.2 6.8 -25 13 -1.9 -4.1 28.6 0.0 100.0 1.8 161.3 28.6
Cameron Carmical Cameron Carmical G 17 13.3 2.4 1.2 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.3 5.0 -20 15 -1.3 -4.7 100.0 100.0 0 -2.77 410.0 130.0
Mason Cooper Mason Cooper G 4 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.16 0 0
Pedro Bradshaw Pedro Bradshaw F 7 6.4 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.1 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG