Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +12 (97-85). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tay Weaver * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Nick Mayo * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 47 | - |
| Jomaru Brown * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Kelvin Robinson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tre King * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Lachlan Anderson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| JacQuess Hobbs | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Peyton Broughton | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Pedro Bradshaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 45 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| KJ Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 32 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Darnell Cowart | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Mike Davis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter