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Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Program History
Coach: Dan McHale

2018 Team Stats (1 games)

70.0
PPG
65.0
Opp
+5.0
Margin
38.5%
FG%
45.0%
3P%
80.8%
FT%
37.0
RPG
12.0
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.3
Adj PPG
76.7
Adj Opp PPG
#290
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 816 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 848 (#283) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 933 (#271) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -8.9 (#292) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -7.3 (#269) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.254 (#291) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.7 More → 0.189 (#291) AdjNet -12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.186 (#293) AdjNet -12.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.319 (#290) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 76.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.391 (#274) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.286 (#287) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.299 (#284) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 172 | GP 29 More → 833 (#289) RD 172 | GP 29

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Rice Owls W 73 - 72
2017-11-13 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 75 - 85
2017-11-16 vs Kentucky State Thorobreds W 97 - 66
2017-11-20 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 70 - 80
2017-11-22 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 62 - 83
2017-11-25 vs Asbury Eagles W 99 - 71
2017-11-29 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 51 - 83
2017-12-02 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 70 - 65
2017-12-05 @ Oregon State Beavers L 62 - 74
2017-12-10 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 63 - 91
2017-12-15 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 70 - 65
2017-12-18 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 83 - 66
2017-12-22 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 71 - 91
2017-12-28 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 58 - 76
2017-12-30 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 69 - 77
2018-01-04 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 82 - 85
2018-01-06 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 53 - 54
2018-01-11 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 78 - 70
2018-01-13 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 91 - 86
2018-01-18 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 67 - 70
2018-01-20 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 60 - 68
2018-01-25 @ Austin Peay Governors L 84 - 90
2018-01-27 @ Murray State Racers L 73 - 88
2018-02-01 vs Belmont Bruins L 63 - 98
2018-02-03 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 60 - 73
2018-02-08 vs UT Martin Skyhawks L 69 - 70
2018-02-10 vs Morehead State Eagles W 75 - 73
2018-02-15 @ Belmont Bruins L 73 - 84
2018-02-17 @ Tennessee State Tigers W 72 - 59
2018-02-22 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 91 - 88
2018-02-24 @ Morehead State Eagles L 66 - 70

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Boyd D. Boyd - 1 26.0 19.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 17.0 3.0 -80 20 -4.0 -6.6 29.4 36.4 83.3 -2.37 48.4 41.2
N. Mayo N. Mayo F 26 34.0 16.9 6.7 2.2 0.7 1.6 3.3 2.2 22.5 -83 27 -3.1 -3.9 51.7 50.0 85.7 0.51 327.2 56.9
D. Dishman D. Dishman - 1 16.0 10.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 -20 26 -0.8 -1.2 100.0 0 66.7 0.82 88.7 100.0
A. Gist A. Gist G 5 27.4 9.0 3.0 2.8 0.6 0.0 2.0 2.6 10.8 -62 6 -10.3 -15.5 30.8 66.7 50.0 -2.6 152.4 38.5
T. Weaver T. Weaver G 20 26.6 6.2 2.5 2.5 0.9 0.1 1.6 1.5 9.2 -5 19 -0.3 -0.4 40.0 47.8 100.0 -0.02 196.8 58.3
J. Hobbs J. Hobbs G 19 25.3 5.7 3.1 3.8 1.5 0.0 1.6 1.7 10.8 -8 20 -0.4 -0.7 28.1 22.2 75.0 -0.94 153.4 31.2
D. Avare D. Avare G 25 18.8 5.6 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.2 5.9 -92 27 -3.4 -8.1 48.4 48.4 0 -4.0 225.8 72.6
Z. Charles Z. Charles F 25 18.8 5.3 4.6 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.8 10.6 -112 26 -4.3 -9.1 61.9 100.0 61.5 -3.7 247.0 64.3
P. Broughton P. Broughton G 24 16.2 4.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.9 5.6 -23 24 -1.0 -2.9 45.5 50.0 75.0 0.91 195.9 54.5
J. Davis J. Davis F 1 16.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 -40 12 -3.3 -8.4 20.0 0 100.0 -0.34 34.0 20.0
A.J. Youngman A.J. Youngman - 24 14.1 3.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 4.6 - - - - 52.9 50.0 0 - 250.0 76.5
L. Anderson L. Anderson F 10 3.6 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.8 -12 11 -1.1 -17.4 100.0 0 50.0 -2.23 478.7 100.0
C. Carmical C. Carmical G 11 2.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 -11 12 -0.9 -8.9 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.1 17.4 0.0
K. Humphrey K. Humphrey - 6 1.7 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG