Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | +17.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +15 (88-73). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Dishman * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Nick Mayo * | 34 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Dedric Boyd * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Zach Charles * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Cameron Carmical * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Peyton Broughton | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Youngman | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dillon Avare | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lachlan Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jonathan Stark * | 39 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Terrell Miller Jr. * | 35 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Dupree * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 25 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zach Hopewell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brion Whitley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jachai Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter