East Texas A&M Lions
2026 Team Stats (30 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 836 (#260) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 900 (#243) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 959 (#231) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -12.8 (#296) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -13.5 (#306) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.255 (#257) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.255 (#257) | NetEff -8.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.123 (#285) | AdjNet -17.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.117 (#285) | AdjNet -17.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.256 (#297) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.340 (#285) | AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.237 (#290) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.252 (#288) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 848 (#278) | RD 139 | GP 28 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tiani Ellison
|
F | 26 | 26.4 | 15.0 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 11.0 | 48 | 22 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 47.2 | 26.2 | 74.0 | 4.86 | 54.5 | 49.0 |
Reza Po
|
G | 29 | 30.8 | 12.8 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 9.9 | 8.6 | -44 | 25 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 44.4 | 38.3 | 75.5 | -1.53 | 56.5 | 52.1 |
Cora Horvath
|
G | 30 | 31.7 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 11.6 | 3.0 | -18 | 26 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 31.0 | 27.7 | 93.3 | 0.91 | 39.3 | 38.1 |
Nina Horvath
|
G | 30 | 25.8 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 5.8 | -61 | 26 | -2.3 | -3.6 | 46.7 | 30.1 | 80.6 | -3.46 | 55.9 | 53.0 |
Ahmya Boyce
|
G | 30 | 31.5 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 9.3 | 3.0 | -70 | 26 | -2.7 | -3.4 | 25.7 | 20.5 | 70.1 | -4.94 | 34.9 | 28.7 |
Rezia Castillo
|
G | 29 | 20.3 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 6.0 | -36 | 25 | -1.4 | -2.9 | 38.6 | 41.9 | 75.7 | -1.32 | 53.2 | 44.3 |
Sarah Gatwech
|
G | 8 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 3.9 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 45.5 | 61.5 | -2.32 | 62.2 | 60.4 |
J'Unti Franklin
|
G | 21 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 37 | 18 | 2.1 | 8.5 | 37.9 | 37.9 | 66.7 | 2.07 | 50.8 | 47.4 |
Nyaluak Dak
|
F | 14 | 9.8 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.3 | -2 | 11 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 48.6 | 16.7 | 60.0 | -0.26 | 52.9 | 50.0 |
Terrayah McCoy
|
G | 22 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1.9 | -51 | 18 | -2.8 | -14.5 | 38.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | -4.3 | 42.5 | 43.0 |
Alva Hedrich
|
F | 30 | 17.2 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 5.4 | -65 | 26 | -2.5 | -5.9 | 34.5 | 10.0 | 75.0 | -2.96 | 39.5 | 35.3 |
Trinity Moreland
|
F | 7 | 5.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | -1.45 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
Makenna Armstrong
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Destine Duckworth
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
K. Lee
|
G | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1723 located field-goal attempts in 29 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Reza PoTiani EllisonCora HorvathNina HorvathAhmya Boyce
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 276-493 | 56.0 | 552 | Tiani Ellison 28% (156 pts) | Nina Horvath 18% (98 pts) | Tiani Ellison 22% (47 misses) | Ahmya Boyce 16% (34 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 145-395 | 36.7 | 290 | Tiani Ellison 24% (70 pts) | Reza Po 19% (56 pts) | Tiani Ellison 24% (60 misses) | Ahmya Boyce 22% (56 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 31-101 | 30.7 | 62 | Reza Po 29% (18 pts) | Cora Horvath 19% (12 pts) | Cora Horvath 29% (20 misses) | Ahmya Boyce 21% (15 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 12-48 | 25.0 | 24 | Reza Po 42% (10 pts) | Tiani Ellison 25% (6 pts) | Cora Horvath 33% (12 misses) | Ahmya Boyce 19% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 28-98 | 28.6 | 56 | Tiani Ellison 29% (16 pts) | Reza Po 21% (12 pts) | Ahmya Boyce 34% (24 misses) | Reza Po 19% (13 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 23-71 | 32.4 | 69 | Reza Po 39% (27 pts) | Nina Horvath 22% (15 pts) | Nina Horvath 31% (15 misses) | Cora Horvath 19% (9 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 18-50 | 36.0 | 54 | Nina Horvath 33% (18 pts) | Cora Horvath 28% (15 pts) | Nina Horvath 34% (11 misses) | Ahmya Boyce 22% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 58-189 | 30.7 | 174 | Cora Horvath 24% (42 pts) | Reza Po 21% (36 pts) | Cora Horvath 33% (43 misses) | Reza Po 20% (26 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 27-94 | 28.7 | 81 | Reza Po 33% (27 pts) | Cora Horvath 30% (24 pts) | Cora Horvath 40% (27 misses) | Reza Po 19% (13 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 53-184 | 28.8 | 159 | Cora Horvath 38% (60 pts) | Reza Po 19% (30 pts) | Cora Horvath 31% (40 misses) | Ahmya Boyce 23% (30 misses) |