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2025-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Texas Southern Tigers East Texas A&M Lions Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.9% 77.1% -
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 25.0% 75.0% -
Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Log Adjusted 8.4% 91.6% -
Points Off/Def 26.5% 73.5% -

Actual: East Texas A&M Lions +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Southern Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Quiller 40 4-11 3-6 0-0 6 2 1 1 2 11 8 -4.5
D. Holmes 36 9-18 2-7 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 22 11 +2.1
A. Henderson 33 4-11 1-2 7-8 7 7 3 1 3 16 20 -3.5
J. Marshall 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.7
M. LeSueur 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 -11.2
T. Logwood 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 4 -6.6
F. Bertho 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 +5.1
L. Perry 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 4 -1 -3.0
A. Jackson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -4.2
D. Lewis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -5.6

East Texas A&M Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Po 38 4-9 0-3 2-2 4 8 1 0 2 10 12 +7.9
A. Boyce 34 3-7 0-1 4-4 1 3 0 1 3 10 5 +4.2
C. Horvath 34 8-18 5-10 0-0 5 5 0 0 0 21 13 +13.4
T. Ellison 30 8-16 0-2 5-6 8 0 0 2 2 21 13 +6.2
N. Horvath 27 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 3 3 0 1 2 5 -3.3
J. Franklin 15 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 8 +7.6
R. Castillo 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 0 4 +0.9
A. Hedrich 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 4 +6.3

* = starter