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Duquesne

Also known as: Duquesne Dukes, Duquesne
Program History

2019 Team Stats (11 games)

73.1
PPG
71.8
Opp
+1.3
Margin
43.7%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
73.7%
FT%
34.5
RPG
13.1
APG
13.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
72.7
Adj Opp PPG
#164
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1021 (#156) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 968 (#217) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -0.1 (#161) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -1.6 (#192) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.545 (#151) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.1 More โ†’ 0.533 (#155) AdjNet +1.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.2 More โ†’ 0.533 (#155) AdjNet +1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 72.7 More โ†’ 0.496 (#164) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 74.5 More โ†’ 0.459 (#211) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 74.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.486 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.479 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1038 (#146) RD 132 | GP 32

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-10 vs William & Mary Tribe W 84 - 70
2018-11-12 vs UIC Flames W 89 - 88
2018-11-17 vs Radford Highlanders W 69 - 64
2018-11-20 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 56 - 67
2018-11-25 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 83 - 71
2018-11-30 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 53 - 74
2018-12-05 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 93 - 82
2018-12-09 vs Longwood Lancers W 80 - 71
2018-12-13 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 72 - 57
2018-12-16 vs Maine Black Bears W 72 - 46
2018-12-19 vs Penn State Nittany Lions L 67 - 73
2018-12-22 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 85 - 84
2018-12-31 vs NJIT Highlanders L 67 - 78
2019-01-05 @ Davidson Wildcats L 61 - 65
2019-01-09 vs Fordham Rams W 66 - 61
2019-01-12 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 85 - 84
2019-01-16 @ Richmond Spiders W 74 - 68
2019-01-20 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 91 - 85
2019-01-23 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 77 - 73
2019-01-26 vs VCU Rams L 74 - 80
2019-01-30 vs Rhode Island Rams W 75 - 72
2019-02-02 @ Dayton Flyers L 64 - 68
2019-02-06 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 49 - 51
2019-02-09 @ Fordham Rams W 74 - 66
2019-02-13 @ La Salle Explorers L 72 - 73
2019-02-16 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 85 - 69
2019-02-23 @ George Mason Patriots W 79 - 78
2019-02-27 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 47 - 68
2019-03-02 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 80 - 73
2019-03-06 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 75 - 85
2019-03-09 vs Dayton Flyers L 67 - 78
2019-03-14 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 86 - 92

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Eric Williams Eric Williams G 32 30.8 14.0 7.6 1.4 1.1 0.2 1.7 5.3 17.3 -23 29 -0.8 -1.1 40.2 37.1 74.3 -1.64 110.9 47.9
Sincere Carry Sincere Carry G 28 33.5 12.1 3.6 5.8 2.4 0.2 3.0 4.4 16.8 37 25 1.5 1.9 43.5 30.0 69.2 0.06 120.4 48.4
Michael Hughes Michael Hughes C 29 24.2 11.2 6.5 0.9 0.9 2.3 1.9 3.2 16.6 7 26 0.3 0.5 55.4 33.3 69.5 1.68 137.3 56.0
Marcus Weathers Marcus Weathers F 31 26.7 10.0 6.4 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.6 3.6 13.3 4 28 0.1 0.2 48.6 26.7 65.5 -0.42 114.6 52.3
Frankie Hughes Frankie Hughes G 32 25.3 8.9 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.2 1.2 3.6 9.0 -28 29 -1.0 -1.7 31.9 29.5 72.2 -1.17 114.6 44.0
Tavian Dunn-Martin Tavian Dunn-Martin G 32 20.8 7.8 1.4 2.5 0.9 0.0 1.7 3.1 7.9 12 29 0.4 0.8 42.9 39.4 89.7 1.54 108.1 56.1
Mike Lewis Mike Lewis G 12 16.8 5.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.9 5.2 32 12 2.7 6.8 21.7 14.3 66.7 1.11 137.7 26.1
N. Yates N. Yates F 1 20.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lamar Norman Lamar Norman G 27 12.6 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.7 42 25 1.7 5.3 45.6 38.9 100.0 0.71 111.4 57.9
Austin Rotroff Austin Rotroff F 19 13.3 4.2 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 5.7 38 16 2.4 6.9 52.6 0.0 57.1 1.22 178.9 52.6
Amari Kelly Amari Kelly F 29 10.6 2.1 2.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.3 3.0 28 26 1.1 4.3 50.0 14.3 33.3 0.46 73.8 51.3
Gavin Bizeau Gavin Bizeau F 20 5.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 -7 19 -0.4 -2.7 26.7 20.0 25.0 -1.81 77.6 33.3
Brandon Wade Brandon Wade G 27 9.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.8 1.2 -12 25 -0.5 -2.3 23.8 14.3 57.1 -1.57 58.1 28.6
Kellon Taylor Kellon Taylor F 9 8.4 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 2.2 10 8 1.2 7.2 50.0 0 0 -0.47 100.0 50.0
J. Johnson J. Johnson G 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zach Snyder Zach Snyder F 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caleb Davis Caleb Davis G 2 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG