Duquesne Dukes
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1155 (#90) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1132 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1026 (#134) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.7 (#68) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.6 (#76) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.836 (#42) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.874 (#68) | AdjNet +16.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.879 (#68) | AdjNet +17.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.716 (#67) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 56.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.640 (#72) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 56.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.727 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.713 (#77) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1110 (#97) | RD 152 | GP 31 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-11 | @ | Saint Francis Red Wolves | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2011-11-14 | vs | Buffalo Bulls | W | 90 - 46 |
| 2011-11-20 | @ | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | L | 80 - 86 |
| 2011-11-22 | @ | North Dakota State Bison | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2011-11-27 | vs | Davidson Wildcats | W | 84 - 53 |
| 2011-12-03 | vs | Ohio Bobcats | W | 83 - 60 |
| 2011-12-06 | vs | Miami (OH) RedHawks | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2011-12-11 | vs | Morehead State Eagles | W | 86 - 53 |
| 2011-12-14 | vs | Akron Zips | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2011-12-17 | vs | West Virginia Mountaineers | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2011-12-20 | vs | Maine Black Bears | W | 76 - 38 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ | Florida Gators | L | 49 - 62 |
| 2011-12-28 | @ | Pittsburgh Panthers | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2011-12-31 | vs | Robert Morris Colonials | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2012-01-03 | @ | James Madison Dukes | L | 49 - 56 |
| 2012-01-07 | @ | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2012-01-11 | vs | Xavier Musketeers | W | 68 - 49 |
| 2012-01-18 | @ | Temple Owls | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2012-01-21 | vs | George Washington Revolutionaries | W | 76 - 50 |
| 2012-01-25 | vs | Massachusetts Minutewomen | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2012-01-28 | @ | Saint Joseph's Hawks | L | 51 - 72 |
| 2012-02-01 | vs | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2012-02-05 | @ | Saint Louis Billikens | L | 55 - 56 |
| 2012-02-08 | @ | Rhode Island Rams | W | 63 - 42 |
| 2012-02-11 | vs | Charlotte 49ers | W | 81 - 53 |
| 2012-02-15 | @ | Fordham Rams | W | 56 - 50 |
| 2012-02-18 | vs | La Salle Explorers | W | 82 - 52 |
| 2012-02-22 | @ | Richmond Spiders | L | 45 - 59 |
| 2012-02-25 | vs | Dayton Flyers | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2012-03-02 | vs | George Washington Revolutionaries | W | 69 - 55 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ | Temple Owls | L | 55 - 64 |
2012 Roster
No roster data available for this season.