Duke Blue Devils - 2024

2024 Team Stats (15 games)

63.2

PPG

58.9

Opp

+4.3

Margin

40.5%

FG%

28.6%

3P%

79.1%

FT%

39.3

RPG

12.9

APG

16.9

TO

81.3

Pace

Model Outputs

2023-2024

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1201 (#37)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1290 (#34)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More →	+51.9 (#11)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.935 (#18)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.8 More →	0.976 (#13)	AdjNet +31.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.9 More →	0.978 (#11)	AdjNet +32.9

2024 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2023-11-19	@	Stanford Cardinal	L	79 - 82
2023-12-03	vs	South Carolina Gamecocks	L	61 - 77
2023-12-28	vs	Coppin State Eagles	W	68 - 34
2024-01-04	@	Louisville Cardinals	L	44 - 61
2024-01-18	vs	Virginia Tech Hokies	W	63 - 46
2024-01-21	@	NC State Wolfpack	L	57 - 72
2024-01-25	vs	Florida State Seminoles	W	88 - 46
2024-02-15	@	Virginia Tech Hokies	L	56 - 61
2024-02-19	vs	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	L	62 - 70
2024-02-22	@	Syracuse Orange	W	58 - 45
2024-02-25	vs	NC State Wolfpack	W	69 - 58
2024-03-08	@	NC State Wolfpack	L	51 - 54
2024-03-22	vs	Richmond Spiders	W	72 - 61
2024-03-24	@	Ohio State Buckeyes	W	75 - 63
2024-03-30	@	UConn Huskies	L	45 - 53

2024 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
R. Richardson	G	15	29.8	13.5	2.9	1.3	1.2	0.3	2.7	12.7	3.9	-12	-1.0	-1.1	42.6	29.8	88.9	-0.16	50.3	47.1
A. Jackson	G	15	29.1	8.5	2.7	2.0	0.7	0.3	2.7	7.9	3.5	122	10.2	11.3	34.7	35.6	76.0	1.44	49.2	45.8
O. Okananwa	G	15	22.1	8.5	7.1	1.4	0.8	0.2	2.6	6.9	8.5	53	5.3	9.5	40.8	24.4	73.3	0.58	51.7	45.6
T. Mair	G	15	31.1	8.1	3.4	3.5	1.4	0.1	2.5	9.7	4.3	12	1.2	1.2	29.7	25.4	90.0	0.14	39.3	35.5
K. Brown	C	15	24.7	7.7	5.5	1.3	0.7	1.5	1.5	7.1	8.1	27	2.2	2.7	45.3	23.1	89.5	0.29	50.7	46.7
D. Thomas	F	15	16.6	5.2	3.1	0.3	0.6	0.3	0.6	3.7	5.3	6	0.7	1.6	52.7	50.0	75.0	0.23	59.5	54.5
C. Emsbo	F	15	15.3	4.7	3.0	0.8	0.4	1.3	1.2	3.6	5.4	-21	-2.1	-4.2	50.0	0	73.9	-0.37	55.4	50.0
J. Donovan	G	15	21.5	4.7	6.7	1.7	1.5	1.3	1.8	4.9	9.2	59	5.9	8.2	46.6	0	60.0	0.64	47.2	46.6
E. Koabel	G	15	10.0	1.7	1.1	0.5	0.7	0.1	0.7	2.1	1.2	17	1.5	4.1	28.1	21.1	75.0	0.35	37.0	34.4
J. Wood	F	4	4.5	1.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.8	-	-	-	50.0	0.0	100.0	-	61.5	50.0
L. Battiston	G	1	4.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	-	-	-	0	0	50.0	-	56.8	0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG