Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +17 (61-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mair | 31 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| R. Richardson | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| O. Okananwa | 29 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| A. Jackson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | - |
| J. Donovan | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Thomas | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Emsbo | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Koabel | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Taylor | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Harris | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| O. Cochran | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| N. Rickards | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Jefferson | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| E. Love | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Russell | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Curry | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2 | - |
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Gassett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Van Schaik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter