Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +15 (72-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mair | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Jackson | 29 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7 | - |
| O. Okananwa | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Brown | 25 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Donovan | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| R. Richardson | 21 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Emsbo | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Koabel | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. James | 40 | 12-20 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 23 | - |
| S. Rivers | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | - |
| M. Collins | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| M. Hayes | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Z. Brooks | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Steele | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Williamson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Cox | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter