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Drake

Season: 2026 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Drake
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1048 (#185) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1112 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1002 (#437) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +27.2 (#74) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#77) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +40.3 More → 0.991 (#42) AdjNet +40.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +39.7 More → 0.991 (#45) AdjNet +39.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 57.0 More → 0.936 (#44) AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 57.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.1 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.749 (#65) AdjO 82.1 | AdjD 70.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.898 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.867 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 1139 (#119) RD 350 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 vs Simpson W 89 - 51
2025-11-21 vs Buena Vista W 98 - 52

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Braden Appelhans - 2 23.3 14.5 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 10.5 8.0 - - - 52.4 46.7 0 - 69.0 69.0
Okku Federiko - 2 22.2 14.0 5.0 3.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 5.5 19.0 - - - 81.8 0 90.9 - 88.4 81.8
Jaehshon Thomas - 2 25.8 13.5 5.5 3.5 2.0 0.0 1.5 11.0 12.0 39 1.9 6.8 36.4 36.4 87.5 1.15 52.9 45.5
Jalen Quinn - 2 26.5 10.5 5.0 5.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 10.5 11.0 - - - 47.6 16.7 0 - 50.0 50.0
Eli Shetlar - 2 27.4 10.5 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 7.5 10.0 - - - 46.7 33.3 60.0 - 61.0 60.0
Andrew Alia - 2 29.6 10.0 4.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 7.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 40.0 100.0 - 67.2 64.3
Wilguens Jr. Exacte - 2 20.4 10.0 7.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 5.5 10.5 - - - 72.7 33.3 75.0 - 78.4 77.3
Isaiah Carr - 2 11.4 5.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.5 2.5 8.0 -80 -16.0 -26.1 60.0 0 83.3 -4.09 72.0 60.0
Griffen Goodbary - 2 13.4 5.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 86.8 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG