🐻⬇️🏀

Simpson

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Simpson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1051 (#176) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1040 (#292) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 933 (#629) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -2.3 (#151) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -4.7 (#430) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.236 (#637) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.3 More → 0.213 (#526) AdjNet -11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.6 More → 0.206 (#528) AdjNet -11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 80.9 More → 0.328 (#503) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 80.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 74.1 More → 0.484 (#445) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 74.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.366 (#524) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.379 (#521) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 24 More → 956 (#435) RD 96 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Benedictine (IL) W 75 - 68
2025-11-08 @ Illinois Col. L 71 - 83
2025-11-10 @ Drake L 51 - 89
2025-11-14 @ Augsburg L 69 - 80
2025-11-15 @ Lewis & Clark L 76 - 77
2025-11-15 @ Saint John's (MN) L 66 - 85
2025-11-21 vs Dominican (IL) W 82 - 72
2025-11-22 vs Wis.-Eau Claire L 68 - 87
2025-11-25 @ Wis.-Whitewater L 78 - 100
2025-12-06 vs Loras L 81 - 85
2025-12-13 vs Buena Vista W 86 - 76
2025-12-16 vs Gustavus Adolphus L 67 - 71
2025-12-30 @ Bethel (MN) W 82 - 68
2026-01-03 @ Luther W 77 - 70
2026-01-07 @ Neb. Wesleyan L 57 - 68
2026-01-10 vs Coe W 78 - 64
2026-01-14 vs Central (IA) W 94 - 79
2026-01-17 @ Dubuque W 88 - 73
2026-01-17 vs UC Santa Cruz L 64 - 78
2026-01-21 @ Wartburg L 66 - 74
2026-01-24 @ Loras L 71 - 77
2026-01-31 vs Luther L 79 - 86
2026-02-04 vs Neb. Wesleyan L 62 - 65
2026-02-07 @ Buena Vista L 71 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Timothy Parker - 1 36.0 20.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 18.0 12.0 - - - 44.4 33.3 100.0 - 51.8 47.2
Pablo Correa - 1 33.4 18.0 14.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 15.0 19.0 - - - 46.7 14.3 75.0 - 53.7 50.0
Cam Henderson - 21 29.0 17.0 2.6 1.8 1.5 0.2 1.4 12.5 9.1 45 2.2 11.1 46.0 42.0 84.8 0.72 58.8 53.0
Jack Jillson - 1 31.0 17.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 13.0 - - - 54.5 57.1 33.3 - 69.0 72.7
Joe Espy - 1 22.0 17.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 11.0 -93 -5.2 -54.2 66.7 33.3 0 0.06 70.8 70.8
Austin Bienemann - 1 34.0 15.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 20.0 12.0 9 0.4 1.6 35.0 0.0 33.3 0.74 35.2 35.0
Levi Gurwell - 21 26.9 14.7 2.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 2.1 11.0 7.8 59 3.0 19.1 43.5 37.2 82.9 -1.59 58.6 53.9
Cael Schramm - 1 27.0 14.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 12.0 10.0 -46 -2.2 -10.1 41.7 0 100.0 0.22 50.9 41.7
Ben Lim - 1 28.0 13.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 11.0 -76 -5.4 -37.0 42.9 20.0 0 0.43 46.4 46.4
Calix Cahill - 11 24.0 12.9 7.0 1.7 0.6 0.5 1.9 9.4 11.5 62 5.2 28.8 52.4 0.0 66.7 1.36 56.6 52.4
Leo Wagner - 1 27.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 12.0 -86 -5.4 -73.4 66.7 60.0 50.0 -1.02 87.2 91.7
Ethan Yungtum - 1 26.0 11.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 10.0 50 2.4 9.9 37.5 100.0 75.0 1.27 56.4 50.0
Hunter Kennedy - 1 28.0 10.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 10.0 -74 -5.3 -80.3 50.0 33.3 0 -2.05 62.5 62.5
Gabe Trujillo - 1 27.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 0 0.0 0.0 75.0 100.0 66.7 0.25 84.6 87.5
Luke Ladwig - 1 29.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 38 1.9 8.2 42.9 50.0 25.0 -0.81 45.7 50.0
Isaac Averill - 16 22.2 7.2 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.9 6.2 5.9 -11 -0.7 -4.4 45.0 41.4 59.1 0.21 52.4 51.0
DaMari Tate - 1 25.5 7.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Bo Huston - 21 18.5 6.3 4.0 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.5 5.3 6.0 -61 -3.0 -23.7 39.6 34.7 67.9 0.4 53.9 51.4
Aidan Carleson - 1 18.0 6.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 -98 -5.4 -117.6 66.7 100.0 50.0 -3.34 77.3 83.3
Thomas Conley - 1 23.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 -109 -6.8 -77.8 33.3 0.0 100.0 -2.27 63.0 33.3
Jaden Gamez - 1 16.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 4 0.3 20.8 40.0 25.0 0 -1.08 50.0 50.0
Vuk Stanic - 1 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 75.0 - 52.5 33.3
Marcus Haupert - 21 14.3 4.9 2.3 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 4.0 3.9 1 0.1 0.6 50.0 0 66.7 -0.26 53.2 50.0
Seth Gipple - 20 12.8 4.8 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 4.5 2.0 -8 -0.4 -8.7 37.4 34.4 75.0 -3.62 50.3 48.9
Colton Rasmussen - 6 10.8 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 3.0 3.2 -38 -7.6 -258.4 55.6 50.0 100.0 -0.15 74.2 72.2
Spencer Holley - 21 24.1 4.6 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 4.7 4.7 15 0.8 4.2 34.7 22.2 55.6 0.86 42.2 38.8
Emmanuel Seddoh - 1 20.7 4.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Miles Burrows - 1 15.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 -27 -1.6 -20.1 50.0 0.0 0 -2.35 50.0 50.0
Jachin Mertes - 20 12.9 3.6 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 3.9 2.6 -76 -4.2 -69.8 42.3 30.0 33.3 -2.93 43.9 44.2
Camden Seuferer - 7 9.6 3.0 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.3 -32 -4.6 -39.0 42.9 40.0 58.3 -2.31 54.5 50.0
Nathaniel Winter - 2 11.8 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.5 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ollie Miller - 1 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -6 -3.0 -20.4 100.0 100.0 0 -1.08 150.0 150.0
Brogan Fuller - 21 15.7 2.5 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 2.4 4.2 30 1.5 12.3 43.1 25.0 50.0 -0.97 49.3 49.0
Michael Kasperbauer - 8 12.6 2.0 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.2 -10 -1.7 -17.8 28.6 30.0 71.4 -0.49 46.8 39.3
Elijah Brookes - 1 14.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 -6 -0.5 -55.4 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.68 41.0 50.0
Jayden Maten - 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Drake Wemark - 1 18.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 -14 -0.7 -3.6 50.0 0.0 0 0.53 50.0 50.0
Caleb Dyvig - 2 5.8 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Mateo Dzolota - 6 12.3 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.8 -15 -3.8 -42.9 15.4 33.3 100.0 -0.91 25.2 19.2
Jace Mills - 1 1.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -38 -3.2 -24.0 0 0 0 -3.25 0 0
Trey Conrad - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kellen Torrey - 1 5.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Hunter Hughes - 2 4.6 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Logan Kowalski - 3 3.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 -0.7 3 1.5 33.0 0.0 0 0 -0.67 0.0 0.0
Teni Salako - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -1.4 -31.6 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
Darren Naruse - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.2 -6.8 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
Dominic Braet - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -4.0 -71.3 0 0 0 -1.39 0 0
Drew Britson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -30 -5.0 -95.7 0 0 0 -0.68 0 0
Patrick Murtagh - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -11.0 -65.3 0 0 0 -1.39 0 0
Noah Franck - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Evan Gray - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -4.0 -241.5 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
Keaton Rothmeyer - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brody Bauer - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -2.5 -89.1 0 0 0 -1.39 0 0
Clay Nielsen - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -3.8 -89.1 0 0 0 -1.39 0 0
Lyle Olsen - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -22 -1.5 -11.1 0 0 0 -1.85 0 0
Brewer Eiklenborg - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -1.0 -4.0 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
Garrett Hempen - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -20 -10.0 -10.1 0 0 0 -3.0 0 0
Preston Daedlow - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 2.0 38.7 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
Nolan McDonald - 1 4.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG