Simpson
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 921 (#497) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 966 (#423) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#629) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.6 (#231) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.7 (#430) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.236 (#637) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.213 (#526) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.206 (#528) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.328 (#503) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 80.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.484 (#445) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.366 (#524) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.379 (#521) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 953 (#431) | RD 95 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Illinois Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Drake | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Augsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Lewis & Clark | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Saint John's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Dominican (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Wis.-Eau Claire | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Wis.-Whitewater | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Buena Vista | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Bethel (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Buena Vista | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Parker | - | 1 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 51.8 | 47.2 |
| Pablo Correa | - | 1 | 33.4 | 18.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 14.3 | 75.0 | - | 53.7 | 50.0 |
| Cam Henderson | - | 20 | 29.7 | 17.5 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 12.6 | 9.4 | 45 | 2.2 | 11.1 | 46.8 | 43.9 | 84.8 | 2.89 | 59.8 | 54.0 |
| Jack Jillson | - | 1 | 31.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 57.1 | 33.3 | - | 69.0 | 72.7 |
| Joe Espy | - | 1 | 22.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | -93 | -5.2 | -54.2 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.83 | 70.8 | 70.8 |
| Levi Gurwell | - | 20 | 27.5 | 15.0 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 59 | 3.0 | 19.1 | 43.9 | 37.4 | 82.9 | 1.96 | 59.1 | 54.3 |
| Austin Bienemann | - | 1 | 34.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 1.11 | 35.2 | 35.0 |
| Cael Schramm | - | 1 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | -46 | -2.2 | -10.1 | 41.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.32 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Ben Lim | - | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | -76 | -5.4 | -37.0 | 42.9 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.93 | 46.4 | 46.4 |
| Calix Cahill | - | 11 | 24.0 | 12.9 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 9.4 | 11.5 | 62 | 5.2 | 28.8 | 52.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 2.94 | 56.6 | 52.4 |
| Leo Wagner | - | 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | -86 | -5.4 | -73.4 | 66.7 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 1.17 | 87.2 | 91.7 |
| Ethan Yungtum | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 50 | 2.4 | 9.9 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 2.53 | 56.4 | 50.0 |
| Hunter Kennedy | - | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | -74 | -5.3 | -80.3 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -3.73 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Gabe Trujillo | - | 1 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 0.03 | 84.6 | 87.5 |
| Luke Ladwig | - | 1 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 38 | 1.9 | 8.2 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 1.97 | 45.7 | 50.0 |
| Isaac Averill | - | 15 | 23.1 | 7.7 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 6.5 | 6.3 | -11 | -0.7 | -4.4 | 46.4 | 42.9 | 59.1 | -1.19 | 53.9 | 52.6 |
| DaMari Tate | - | 1 | 25.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bo Huston | - | 20 | 18.7 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.3 | 6.0 | -61 | -3.0 | -23.7 | 39.6 | 35.2 | 69.2 | -3.06 | 54.1 | 51.4 |
| Aidan Carleson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | -98 | -5.4 | -117.6 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -5.62 | 77.3 | 83.3 |
| Thomas Conley | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -109 | -6.8 | -77.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.14 | 63.0 | 33.3 |
| Jaden Gamez | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 20.8 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Vuk Stanic | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 52.5 | 33.3 |
| Marcus Haupert | - | 20 | 14.4 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.02 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Seth Gipple | - | 19 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 2.1 | -8 | -0.4 | -8.7 | 38.1 | 34.5 | 75.0 | -0.52 | 50.8 | 49.4 |
| Spencer Holley | - | 20 | 24.4 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 15 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 34.7 | 22.9 | 57.1 | -2.14 | 42.6 | 38.9 |
| Emmanuel Seddoh | - | 1 | 20.7 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Colton Rasmussen | - | 5 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 3.0 | -38 | -7.6 | -258.4 | 53.8 | 44.4 | 100.0 | -2.65 | 72.0 | 69.2 |
| Miles Burrows | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -27 | -1.6 | -20.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.09 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jachin Mertes | - | 19 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 3.1 | -76 | -4.2 | -69.8 | 44.6 | 37.5 | 33.3 | -5.58 | 46.2 | 46.6 |
| Camden Seuferer | - | 6 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | -32 | -4.6 | -39.0 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -1.8 | 57.5 | 53.8 |
| Nathaniel Winter | - | 1 | 15.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ollie Miller | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -6 | -3.0 | -20.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.94 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Brogan Fuller | - | 20 | 15.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 30 | 1.5 | 12.3 | 44.9 | 26.1 | 50.0 | 1.25 | 51.2 | 51.0 |
| Elijah Brookes | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -6 | -0.5 | -55.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.62 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Jayden Maten | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Drake Wemark | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -14 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.39 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Michael Kasperbauer | - | 7 | 11.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 3.3 | -10 | -1.7 | -17.8 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -1.34 | 44.4 | 37.5 |
| Mateo Dzolota | - | 5 | 11.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | -15 | -3.8 | -42.9 | 18.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.57 | 29.5 | 22.7 |
| Logan Kowalski | - | 2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 1.5 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Preston Daedlow | - | 1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2.0 | 38.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jace Mills | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -38 | -3.2 | -24.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.19 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Conrad | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kellen Torrey | - | 1 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hunter Hughes | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Dyvig | - | 1 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Teni Salako | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -1.4 | -31.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Darren Naruse | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic Braet | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -4.0 | -71.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Drew Britson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -30 | -5.0 | -95.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Murtagh | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -11.0 | -65.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Franck | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Evan Gray | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -4.0 | -241.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Keaton Rothmeyer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brody Bauer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -2.5 | -89.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Clay Nielsen | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -3.8 | -89.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lyle Olsen | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -1.5 | -11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.79 | 0 | 0 |
| Brewer Eiklenborg | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -4.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Garrett Hempen | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -20 | -10.0 | -10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.55 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG