🐻⬇️🏀

Buena Vista Beavers

Also known as: Buena Vista
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1054 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1030 (#327) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1015 (#332) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -5.7 (#279) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.5 (#503) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.512 (#459) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.6 More → 0.399 (#401) AdjNet -3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.390 (#400) AdjNet -3.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.447 (#394) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9 More → 0.405 (#573) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.365 (#526) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.375 (#527) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 1052 (#286) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs St. Scholastica - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Minn.-Morris - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Drake - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Bethel (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 vs Crown (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Dallas - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Coe - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Central (IA) - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Simpson - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ North Central (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs Lakeland - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 vs Howard Payne - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Carleton - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Dubuque - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Loras - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Wartburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Luther - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Neb. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Central (IA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Coe - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Dubuque - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Simpson - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carter Sievers - 16 32.1 18.8 4.0 3.6 0.7 0.1 1.6 12.4 13.2 -17 -1.1 -4.9 43.9 42.9 78.2 0.39 59.9 52.3
Jayden Brink - 20 29.8 14.9 3.2 2.1 1.1 0.0 2.3 11.8 7.3 33 1.6 11.8 42.6 33.8 85.5 1.44 57.0 52.3
Adam Bryte - 21 31.4 13.0 5.4 1.6 0.8 0.3 1.7 11.9 7.5 -31 -1.5 -8.7 38.4 34.2 77.8 -0.75 51.2 48.8
Jackson Jones - 21 26.7 10.3 4.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.1 8.1 7.9 -19 -0.9 -5.9 46.5 34.7 80.6 -1.07 59.1 56.5
Kyle Sternberg - 21 24.3 9.5 5.7 1.7 0.9 0.8 1.6 6.3 10.6 9 0.4 3.2 45.9 30.4 78.9 1.14 59.8 52.3
Keaton Flaherty - 21 16.1 4.2 3.9 1.6 0.2 0.1 1.0 3.0 6.1 -8 -0.4 -4.2 46.0 52.2 86.4 2.04 61.2 55.6
Ned Hayes - 21 13.1 4.1 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.7 2.9 3.1 -3 -0.1 -4.3 47.5 25.0 78.6 -0.49 58.6 52.5
Jaden Jones - 21 22.9 4.0 3.5 2.7 1.1 0.1 1.5 4.0 6.0 -12 -0.5 -7.2 41.0 31.2 54.5 -0.86 47.8 47.0
August Hubbard - 10 4.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.7 -4 -0.4 -7.6 50.0 66.7 50.0 -1.01 58.2 58.3
Shane Bierle - 19 10.3 1.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.9 1.5 -43 -2.3 -39.7 22.2 25.0 66.7 -3.94 38.6 25.0
Max Devries - 7 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1 0.2 72.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 64.7 0.0
Brody Buck - 6 4.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.96 41.0 25.0
Eli Salas - 13 5.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 6 0.5 43.4 20.0 0.0 75.0 -0.36 29.8 20.0
Landon Blacthford - 6 2.2 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 2 0.5 17.3 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Joshua Jackson - 2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -0.7 0 0 0 1.89 0 0
Otto Aaland - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aric Baier - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sam Julin - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zachary Marini - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Wesley Vana - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG