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Buena Vista Beavers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Buena Vista
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1130 (#71) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1071 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1015 (#332) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -5.7 (#199) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.5 (#503) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.512 (#459) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.6 More → 0.399 (#401) AdjNet -3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.390 (#400) AdjNet -3.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.447 (#394) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9 More → 0.405 (#573) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.365 (#525) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.375 (#527) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 1054 (#293) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs St. Scholastica L 66 - 73
2025-11-15 vs Minn.-Morris W 83 - 73
2025-11-21 @ Drake L 52 - 98
2025-11-22 vs Bethel (MN) W 83 - 78
2025-11-28 vs Crown (MN) W 77 - 72
2025-11-29 @ Dallas W 68 - 64
2025-12-03 vs Coe L 64 - 81
2025-12-06 vs Central (IA) W 88 - 71
2025-12-13 @ Simpson L 76 - 86
2025-12-16 @ North Central (MN) W 92 - 87
2025-12-19 vs Lakeland W 94 - 70
2025-12-29 vs Howard Payne W 99 - 97
2025-12-30 vs Carleton L 74 - 76
2026-01-03 @ Dubuque W 71 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Loras L 69 - 96
2026-01-14 @ Wartburg W 77 - 65
2026-01-17 vs Luther W 66 - 63
2026-01-21 vs Neb. Wesleyan L 52 - 65
2026-01-24 @ Central (IA) L 91 - 93
2026-01-28 @ Coe L 66 - 75
2026-01-31 vs Dubuque L 71 - 84
2026-02-07 vs Simpson W 72 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carter Sievers - 16 32.1 18.8 4.0 3.6 0.7 0.1 1.6 12.4 13.2 -17 -1.1 -4.9 43.9 42.9 78.2 -2.66 59.9 52.3
Jayden Brink - 21 29.4 15.0 3.3 2.1 1.1 0.0 2.2 11.6 7.7 33 1.6 11.8 43.0 34.3 86.2 0.41 57.8 53.1
Adam Bryte - 22 30.7 12.9 5.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 1.6 11.7 7.5 -31 -1.5 -8.7 38.9 35.0 76.3 1.39 51.9 49.6
Jackson Jones - 22 26.0 10.0 4.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.1 7.9 7.5 -19 -0.9 -5.9 46.0 35.0 80.6 -0.68 58.6 56.0
Kyle Sternberg - 22 24.1 9.2 5.6 1.7 0.8 0.8 1.6 6.3 10.2 9 0.4 3.2 44.9 31.0 78.9 0.11 58.9 51.4
Keaton Flaherty - 22 15.9 4.1 3.7 1.6 0.2 0.1 1.0 2.9 6.0 -8 -0.4 -4.2 46.9 52.2 79.2 0.43 61.0 56.2
Ned Hayes - 22 13.2 4.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.6 3.0 3.0 -3 -0.1 -4.3 46.2 25.0 78.6 -1.71 57.6 51.5
Jaden Jones - 22 22.8 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.1 0.1 1.5 3.9 5.8 -12 -0.5 -7.2 41.2 32.4 54.5 -0.08 48.4 47.6
Zachary Marini - 2 1.6 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Wesley Vana - 2 1.9 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
August Hubbard - 11 5.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.3 -4 -0.4 -7.6 37.5 40.0 50.0 0.41 44.4 43.8
Brody Buck - 7 5.7 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.6 - - - 28.6 0.0 100.0 - 38.1 28.6
Shane Bierle - 20 10.6 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.9 1.4 -43 -2.3 -39.7 22.2 25.0 66.7 -0.72 38.6 25.0
Max Devries - 8 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1 0.2 72.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.67 53.2 0.0
Landon Blacthford - 7 2.9 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 2 0.5 17.3 40.0 0.0 0 1.15 40.0 40.0
Eli Salas - 14 5.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.2 6 0.5 43.4 13.3 0.0 75.0 1.49 20.9 13.3
Joshua Jackson - 3 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.7 -1 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.61 0.0 0.0
Otto Aaland - 2 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aric Baier - 2 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Sam Julin - 2 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG