Buena Vista Beavers
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1054 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#327) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1015 (#332) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#279) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.5 (#503) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.512 (#459) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.399 (#401) | AdjNet -3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.390 (#400) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.447 (#394) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.405 (#573) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#526) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.375 (#527) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1052 (#286) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | St. Scholastica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Minn.-Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Drake | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bethel (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Dallas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | North Central (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Howard Payne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Carleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Sievers | - | 16 | 32.1 | 18.8 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 12.4 | 13.2 | -17 | -1.1 | -4.9 | 43.9 | 42.9 | 78.2 | 0.39 | 59.9 | 52.3 |
| Jayden Brink | - | 20 | 29.8 | 14.9 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 11.8 | 7.3 | 33 | 1.6 | 11.8 | 42.6 | 33.8 | 85.5 | 1.44 | 57.0 | 52.3 |
| Adam Bryte | - | 21 | 31.4 | 13.0 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 11.9 | 7.5 | -31 | -1.5 | -8.7 | 38.4 | 34.2 | 77.8 | -0.75 | 51.2 | 48.8 |
| Jackson Jones | - | 21 | 26.7 | 10.3 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 7.9 | -19 | -0.9 | -5.9 | 46.5 | 34.7 | 80.6 | -1.07 | 59.1 | 56.5 |
| Kyle Sternberg | - | 21 | 24.3 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 6.3 | 10.6 | 9 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 45.9 | 30.4 | 78.9 | 1.14 | 59.8 | 52.3 |
| Keaton Flaherty | - | 21 | 16.1 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.1 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.2 | 46.0 | 52.2 | 86.4 | 2.04 | 61.2 | 55.6 |
| Ned Hayes | - | 21 | 13.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 3.1 | -3 | -0.1 | -4.3 | 47.5 | 25.0 | 78.6 | -0.49 | 58.6 | 52.5 |
| Jaden Jones | - | 21 | 22.9 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -7.2 | 41.0 | 31.2 | 54.5 | -0.86 | 47.8 | 47.0 |
| August Hubbard | - | 10 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | -4 | -0.4 | -7.6 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -1.01 | 58.2 | 58.3 |
| Shane Bierle | - | 19 | 10.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | -43 | -2.3 | -39.7 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -3.94 | 38.6 | 25.0 |
| Max Devries | - | 7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 72.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 64.7 | 0.0 |
| Brody Buck | - | 6 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.96 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Eli Salas | - | 13 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 6 | 0.5 | 43.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.36 | 29.8 | 20.0 |
| Landon Blacthford | - | 6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.5 | 17.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Joshua Jackson | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Otto Aaland | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aric Baier | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Julin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zachary Marini | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Vana | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG