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Drake

Also known as: Drake Bulldogs, Drake
Program History

2015 Team Stats (3 games)

50.3
PPG
69.7
Opp
-19.3
Margin
39.4%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
75.6%
FT%
26.7
RPG
9.3
APG
10.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.7
Adj PPG
65.7
Adj Opp PPG
#271
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 862 (#268) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 851 (#286) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 923 (#280) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -6.0 (#266) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -2.3 (#210) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.180 (#321) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.256 (#268) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.253 (#268) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.367 (#271) AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 65.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 64.3 More โ†’ 0.429 (#248) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.329 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.340 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 30 More โ†’ 872 (#265) RD 157 | GP 30

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 58 - 77
2014-11-18 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 62 - 80
2014-11-22 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 75 - 91
2014-11-25 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 73 - 60
2014-11-28 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 46 - 66
2014-11-29 @ Portland Pilots L 59 - 71
2014-11-30 @ Murray State Racers L 59 - 68
2014-12-06 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 62 - 63
2014-12-13 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 48 - 64
2014-12-15 vs Jackson State Tigers W 76 - 66
2014-12-20 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 54 - 83
2014-12-22 vs Simpson (IA) Storm W 84 - 62
2014-12-31 vs Wichita State Shockers L 58 - 66
2015-01-03 @ Missouri State Bears L 37 - 62
2015-01-07 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 45 - 81
2015-01-10 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 40 - 64
2015-01-14 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 47 - 50
2015-01-17 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 84 - 78
2015-01-20 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 56 - 64
2015-01-25 @ Wichita State Shockers L 40 - 74
2015-01-28 @ Bradley Braves W 69 - 57
2015-01-31 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 70 - 65
2015-02-04 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 63 - 61
2015-02-07 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 53 - 69
2015-02-11 vs Bradley Braves W 60 - 54
2015-02-14 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 54 - 75
2015-02-17 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 52 - 61
2015-02-22 vs Missouri State Bears W 78 - 43
2015-02-25 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 75 - 80
2015-02-28 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 57 - 63
2015-03-05 vs Bradley Braves L 50 - 52

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Reed Timmer Reed Timmer G 27 29.6 11.7 2.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 1.9 4.2 10.8 -184 26 -7.1 -10.2 45.1 38.5 84.2 -3.66 122.2 49.6
Gary Ricks Gary Ricks G 25 30.5 11.4 3.0 2.0 0.9 0.1 1.0 4.2 12.2 -86 23 -3.7 -5.2 36.5 40.6 83.3 2.13 130.4 49.0
Jacob Enevold Jacob Enevold C 27 28.2 9.0 6.0 0.3 0.4 1.1 2.4 2.6 11.7 -134 26 -5.2 -7.9 62.0 0 70.0 0.09 136.6 62.0
Chris Caird Chris Caird G 27 19.8 6.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.1 2.0 7.2 -61 26 -2.3 -4.9 41.5 40.5 91.7 2.18 160.4 55.7
Jordan Daniels Jordan Daniels G 27 17.4 5.6 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.1 2.6 4.9 -98 26 -3.8 -8.5 44.3 32.1 69.2 -2.08 100.4 50.7
Trevor Berkeley Trevor Berkeley F 27 20.0 5.3 2.8 0.7 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.9 6.9 -119 26 -4.6 -9.8 50.0 37.5 64.3 -1.16 127.3 53.0
Ore Arogundade Ore Arogundade G 25 12.7 3.6 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.3 4.2 -86 24 -3.6 -11.5 50.0 75.0 85.7 -1.83 117.9 64.1
C.J. Rivers C.J. Rivers G 25 17.4 3.4 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.0 1.2 0.9 5.5 -137 24 -5.7 -13.0 56.5 66.7 66.7 -3.48 155.8 65.2
Karl Madison Karl Madison G 25 22.1 2.5 1.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 1.5 1.0 4.7 -48 23 -2.1 -4.3 45.8 42.9 40.0 0.64 109.2 52.1
Kory Kuenstling Kory Kuenstling F 26 9.8 1.9 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.5 2.3 -56 25 -2.2 -9.6 30.8 0 100.0 -1.37 164.5 30.8
Blake Danielak Blake Danielak F 5 4.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.92 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG