Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +36 (81-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Timmer * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jacob Enevold * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Caird * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Rivers * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Gary Ricks * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ore Arogundade | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Berkeley | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Karl Madison | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Daniels | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kory Kuenstling | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Lee * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| John Jones * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tony Wills * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Daishon Knight * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| MiKyle McIntosh * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Justin McCloud | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Will Ransom | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Mark Hall | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bobby Hunter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| James Stawarz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter