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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

2014 Team Stats (5 games)

53.6
PPG
65.8
Opp
-12.2
Margin
36.4%
FG%
38.2%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
32.0
RPG
8.2
APG
14.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.8
Adj PPG
66.8
Adj Opp PPG
#309
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 794 (#314) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 737 (#327) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 911 (#292) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -10.8 (#310) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -9.5 (#303) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.232 (#308) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.6 More โ†’ 0.116 (#318) AdjNet -17.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.7 More โ†’ 0.114 (#318) AdjNet -17.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.286 (#309) AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.384 (#288) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.219 (#320) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.235 (#315) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 28 More โ†’ 726 (#325) RD 141 | GP 28

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-09 vs Cairn University Highlanders W 107 - 48
2013-11-11 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 50 - 68
2013-11-13 @ Clemson Tigers L 37 - 58
2013-11-19 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 50 - 94
2013-11-25 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 70 - 80
2013-11-30 @ Buffalo Bulls L 55 - 65
2013-12-02 vs Mission Patriots W 72 - 47
2013-12-04 @ Dayton Flyers L 46 - 56
2013-12-07 vs Coppin State Eagles L 54 - 73
2013-12-15 @ Howard Bison L 62 - 64
2013-12-17 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 43 - 75
2013-12-30 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 57 - 60
2014-01-02 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 66 - 65
2014-01-04 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 70 - 60
2014-01-11 vs Hampton Pirates L 60 - 73
2014-01-13 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 56 - 58
2014-01-18 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 52 - 62
2014-01-20 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 55 - 66
2014-01-27 vs NJIT Highlanders L 59 - 65
2014-02-01 @ Morgan State Bears L 64 - 77
2014-02-03 @ Coppin State Eagles L 53 - 54
2014-02-08 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 61 - 53
2014-02-10 vs Savannah State Tigers W 79 - 59
2014-02-15 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 79 - 67
2014-02-17 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 63 - 68
2014-02-22 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 84 - 71
2014-02-24 vs Morgan State Bears W 59 - 56
2014-03-01 vs Howard Bison L 53 - 55
2014-03-06 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 70 - 84
2014-03-11 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 61 - 65

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Casey Walker Casey Walker G 25 29.8 12.3 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.8 3.9 13.4 -67 19 -3.5 -5.6 33.7 29.1 65.0 -3.23 143.7 41.8
Tyshawn Bell Tyshawn Bell F 24 28.3 11.9 3.3 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.6 3.4 12.4 -52 18 -2.9 -4.8 38.3 33.3 92.9 -1.6 152.7 46.3
Kendall Gray Kendall Gray C 25 32.1 11.6 7.7 0.9 0.4 2.9 1.8 3.1 18.7 -71 19 -3.7 -5.5 50.0 0 63.2 -3.66 141.2 50.0
Kendal Williams Kendal Williams G 25 26.3 7.4 2.2 2.9 0.7 0.0 1.7 3.7 7.7 -16 19 -0.8 -1.6 31.2 26.1 75.0 1.6 93.6 34.4
DeAndre Haywood DeAndre Haywood G 23 14.2 6.2 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.7 6.6 21 16 1.3 5.1 40.0 40.0 72.0 0.77 140.2 42.5
Albert Thomas Albert Thomas G 23 25.2 3.7 2.0 2.3 0.6 0.0 1.4 1.5 5.9 -1 17 -0.1 -0.1 41.2 50.0 64.7 1.36 103.7 47.1
Nick Doyle Nick Doyle G 22 11.0 2.5 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.1 2.6 -9 16 -0.6 -2.7 24.0 10.0 50.0 -0.2 102.8 26.0
Chris Lewis Chris Lewis - 5 5.6 2.2 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.0 2.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jason Owens Jason Owens F 23 9.5 2.1 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.1 3.0 -5 15 -0.3 -1.7 26.9 0 100.0 0.51 89.3 26.9
Jordan Lawson Jordan Lawson G 20 7.8 1.6 1.8 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 3.4 -14 17 -0.8 -4.7 22.2 0 50.0 -1.36 148.7 22.2
Ashwell Boyd Ashwell Boyd G 9 3.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.8 - - - - 0.0 0 75.0 -1.15 172.9 0.0
Mrdjan Gasevic Mrdjan Gasevic F 18 6.8 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.0 - - - - 20.0 0 33.3 - 197.8 20.0
Charles Burley Charles Burley G 25 13.6 1.3 1.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 1.4 0.3 4.0 -19 19 -1.0 -3.5 12.5 0 50.0 -0.73 124.2 12.5
Larry Haley Larry Haley G 8 4.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 7 5 1.4 16.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.55 450.0 0.0
Cahli Thomas Cahli Thomas G 13 3.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.4 0 8 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 33.3 0.14 90.4 50.0
Rakeen Brown Rakeen Brown G 9 3.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 -8 5 -1.6 -28.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.51 52.1 0.0
Scott Sill Scott Sill F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.0 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG