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2013-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 1.4% 98.6% -
Bradley-Terry 2.3% 97.7% -
Margin 0.5% 99.5% +29.3 (19.3 off)

Actual: Dayton Flyers +10 (56-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Walker * 40 5-10 3-8 1-1 6 2 0 0 1 14 11 -
A. Thomas * 36 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 5 -
K. Williams * 35 3-9 0-1 0-0 7 4 0 0 2 6 6 -
T. Bell * 28 3-5 2-4 6-6 1 0 0 0 1 14 9 -
K. Gray * 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 2 0 -
J. Owens 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
D. Haywood 10 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Burley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Lawson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Doyle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Oliver * 27 1-5 0-2 1-2 8 1 0 0 3 3 4 -
J. Sibert * 22 2-3 2-3 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
D. Pierre * 20 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 1 1 3 5 -
K. Price * 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Kavanaugh * 15 4-4 0-0 3-4 0 1 1 1 1 11 9 -
V. Sanford 24 4-11 0-2 2-3 3 4 1 0 0 10 7 -
S. Smith 22 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Davis 14 0-3 0-1 0-2 2 1 2 0 0 0 2 -
D. Scott 13 2-2 0-0 3-5 1 1 0 1 0 7 8 -
J. Robinson 13 3-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
K. Pollard 12 3-4 0-0 0-3 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter