🐻⬇️🏀

Dayton

Also known as: Dayton Flyers, Dayton
Program History

2025 Team Stats (12 games)

76.4
PPG
69.9
Opp
+6.0
Margin
48.2%
FG%
33.6%
3P%
71.6%
FT%
35.3
RPG
16.4
APG
10.0
TO
74.9
Pace
78.1
AdjO
69.8
AdjD
#79
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1129 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1165 (#64) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +7.3 (#86) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.655 (#93) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.655 (#94) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.6 More → 0.793 (#80) AdjNet +11.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.7 More → 0.794 (#80) AdjNet +11.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.681 (#79) AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 69.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-13 vs Ball State Cardinals W 77 - 69
2024-11-16 vs Capital Crusaders W 76 - 55
2024-11-20 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 74 - 53
2024-11-25 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 90 - 92
2024-11-26 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 84 - 89
2024-11-27 vs UConn Huskies W 85 - 67
2024-12-03 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 77 - 69
2024-12-07 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 86 - 62
2024-12-14 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 71 - 63
2024-12-17 vs UNLV Rebels W 66 - 65
2024-12-20 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 59 - 66
2024-12-31 vs La Salle Explorers W 84 - 70
2025-01-04 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 62 - 82
2025-01-08 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 72 - 76

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nate Santos Nate Santos F 14 32.8 15.1 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 1.6 10.6 9.6 124 3.6 4.5 45.3 41.9 71.2 1.62 59.9 55.7
E. Cheeks E. Cheeks G 13 32.5 12.2 7.1 1.6 1.5 0.7 1.1 9.8 12.2 170 5.2 6.2 44.1 35.6 89.3 2.09 56.7 52.4
Zed Key Zed Key F 13 23.3 11.8 4.2 0.4 0.3 1.1 1.0 6.5 10.2 90 3.0 4.8 60.0 0.0 78.5 1.11 67.3 60.0
M. Smith M. Smith G 14 27.4 10.7 3.0 5.6 0.9 0.0 2.3 8.6 9.4 115 3.7 4.9 43.3 40.0 65.3 0.53 53.0 49.2
J. Bennett J. Bennett G 14 28.1 9.0 2.7 2.4 1.4 0.1 0.9 7.4 7.5 198 5.7 7.3 42.7 37.9 88.9 1.88 56.8 53.4
P. Alexander P. Alexander G 13 21.8 7.1 2.5 2.7 1.5 0.1 1.0 5.5 7.2 37 2.5 6.3 43.1 24.0 85.7 0.32 54.6 47.2
A. L'Etang A. L'Etang F 14 12.6 5.9 3.8 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.9 4.2 6.4 46 2.4 5.2 52.5 25.0 60.9 0.81 59.3 57.6
J. Conner J. Conner F 8 9.8 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.0 1.8 1 0.1 0.2 43.8 25.0 55.6 0.23 55.1 53.1
I. Jack I. Jack - 11 7.5 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 3.5 -6 -0.6 -2.4 100.0 0 60.0 -0.22 95.1 100.0
H. Mousa H. Mousa G 13 7.9 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.8 1.5 3 0.6 3.4 45.5 20.0 69.2 -0.53 59.8 50.0
J. Simon J. Simon F 13 5.8 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.9 2.3 -5 -0.3 -1.5 50.0 20.0 33.3 -0.06 52.6 54.2
M. Grant M. Grant G 2 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
W. Maxwell W. Maxwell G 4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Brady Uhl Brady Uhl - 4 4.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 -0.2 2 0.7 8.5 20.0 0.0 0 -1.01 20.0 20.0
A. Schuler A. Schuler G 4 1.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - 0 0 25.0 - 28.4 0
Marvel Allen Marvel Allen G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 7 0.6 3.1 - - - -0.12 - -
E. Dickey E. Dickey G 4 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 3 3.0 65.5 0.0 0 0 -1.61 0.0 0.0
P. Padegimas P. Padegimas F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG