🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 78.6% 21.4% -7.1 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% -
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% -
Points Off/Def 63.4% 36.6% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Joplin 36 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 8 7 -9.1
C. Ross 36 6-10 2-5 5-5 5 0 1 2 2 19 15 -5.3
K. Jones 29 6-13 2-5 4-4 5 4 0 0 2 18 12 -6.5
S. Mitchell 28 2-9 1-3 0-2 6 1 0 0 4 5 -1 -11.5
B. Gold 27 3-7 2-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 9 1 -6.7
Z. Lowery 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 2 7 -9.5
R. Parham 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -0.7
D. Owens 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -1.2
T. Norman 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +1.8
C. Hamilton 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.2

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Santos 39 3-9 1-5 5-8 13 1 1 0 1 12 17 +14.0
E. Cheeks 36 7-17 0-5 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 14 5 +16.1
J. Bennett 34 6-9 3-4 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 15 11 +12.9
M. Smith 30 3-10 0-3 0-0 2 11 1 0 1 6 9 +9.5
Z. Key 29 6-8 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 1 15 11 +17.2
P. Alexander 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 4 5 -2.6
A. L'Etang 11 2-3 0-1 1-4 8 2 0 0 0 5 12 +0.1
H. Mousa 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.1
J. Simon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.6

* = starter