Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Joplin | 36 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -9.1 |
| C. Ross | 36 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | -5.3 |
| K. Jones | 29 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | -6.5 |
| S. Mitchell | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | -11.5 |
| B. Gold | 27 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Z. Lowery | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -9.5 |
| R. Parham | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.7 |
| D. Owens | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.2 |
| T. Norman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.8 |
| C. Hamilton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Santos | 39 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +14.0 |
| E. Cheeks | 36 | 7-17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +16.1 |
| J. Bennett | 34 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +12.9 |
| M. Smith | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +9.5 |
| Z. Key | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +17.2 |
| P. Alexander | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.6 |
| A. L'Etang | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | +0.1 |
| H. Mousa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| J. Simon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
* = starter