Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.9% | 22.1% | -6.9 | ✗ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Karaban * | 36 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| S. Ball * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| L. McNeeley * | 30 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Diarra * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Johnson * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Reed Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Ross | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Mahaney | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Stewart | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Nowell | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Abraham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Singare | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Santos * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| E. Cheeks * | 37 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| J. Bennett * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Z. Key * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Smith * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| P. Alexander | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| I. Jack | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. L'Etang | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| H. Mousa | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Simon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter