🐻⬇️🏀

Cortland

Also known as: Cortland
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1181 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1261 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1215 (#18) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +14.1 (#66) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +8.9 (#220) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.941 (#207) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.1 More → 0.943 (#133) NetEff +21.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.7 More → 0.916 (#198) AdjNet +20.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.1 More → 0.916 (#201) AdjNet +20.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 54.4 More → 0.740 (#211) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 54.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 48.1 More → 0.752 (#87) AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 48.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.843 (#109) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.842 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 21 More → 1354 (#15) RD 119 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Rochester (NY) W 53 - 48
2025-11-11 vs Scranton L 50 - 69
2025-11-13 vs Ithaca W 73 - 44
2025-11-21 @ Carnegie Mellon L 50 - 54
2025-11-22 @ Wash. & Jeff. W 74 - 62
2026-01-10 vs SUNY Oneonta W 58 - 42
2026-01-13 vs Buffalo St. W 71 - 41
2026-01-16 @ SUNY Potsdam W 67 - 37
2026-01-17 @ Plattsburgh St. W 58 - 50
2026-01-20 @ Fredonia L 0 - 0
2026-01-23 vs SUNY Morrisville W 54 - 49
2026-01-27 @ Buffalo St. W 78 - 47
2026-01-30 @ SUNY Oneonta W 62 - 39
2026-01-31 @ SUNY New Paltz L 55 - 57
2026-02-06 vs Plattsburgh St. W 54 - 38
2026-02-07 vs SUNY Potsdam W 65 - 40

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brooke Tillotson - 14 26.7 10.6 4.7 1.3 1.9 0.8 1.4 8.1 9.8 87 6.2 36.3 46.9 25.9 85.4 2.44 56.5 50.0
Joleen Lusk - 14 25.6 10.6 7.5 1.6 0.8 2.1 2.6 9.9 10.0 85 6.1 58.2 41.7 33.3 69.8 2.07 47.2 42.8
Jackie Funk - 13 26.0 9.6 3.5 1.0 0.4 0.3 1.2 9.5 4.2 50 4.5 27.9 36.6 27.6 82.6 2.29 47.0 43.1
Cadence Nicholas - 10 15.3 7.5 2.8 0.9 0.9 0.2 2.0 5.3 5.0 -5 -0.8 -3.6 54.7 0.0 54.8 1.1 56.3 54.7
Sam Dembinsky - 14 14.8 6.1 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.9 4.4 5.1 -7 -0.5 -5.0 54.8 41.2 57.9 2.47 61.1 60.5
Sophie Bissaillon - 15 22.7 5.9 4.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.3 3.8 7.1 32 2.3 21.8 57.9 36.4 70.4 1.16 64.6 61.4
Kaeli McAnally - 9 23.8 5.8 2.2 2.8 1.2 0.0 2.0 5.2 4.8 0 0.0 0.0 38.3 35.3 83.3 0.41 49.7 44.7
Adriana Fontana - 6 15.5 5.0 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.8 1.3 31 3.9 167.9 41.4 35.3 0.0 0.01 51.0 51.7
Megan Milleville - 8 7.5 3.5 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.9 3.2 2.6 27 3.9 38.1 50.0 100.0 33.3 0.24 51.2 51.9
Sarah Owen - 9 9.5 3.4 2.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.6 2.9 2.9 -5 -0.6 -12.0 38.5 14.3 90.9 0.19 50.3 40.4
Alex Dembinsky - 5 11.9 3.2 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.4 - - - 45.5 44.4 100.0 - 67.3 63.6
Bella Zingoni - 14 19.4 2.8 2.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 1.0 2.4 3.6 31 2.8 14.9 36.4 29.4 62.5 4.08 48.7 43.9
Charli Bennett - 7 4.5 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.9 2.1 12 1.7 53.6 66.7 50.0 33.3 1.29 63.7 75.0
Abby Sheehan - 8 7.4 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.9 2.0 0.6 -6 -0.8 -31.4 37.5 20.0 0 0.12 40.6 40.6
Mariah Huss - 13 18.3 1.5 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.0 1.2 1.6 3.8 55 4.2 31.6 33.3 11.1 83.3 3.55 42.3 35.7
Kaitlyn Nestor - 6 4.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 8 2.0 52.3 40.0 50.0 0 0.51 50.0 50.0
Katie Boyd - 12 7.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.2 18 2.0 39.0 18.2 14.3 0 -0.28 22.7 22.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG