SUNY Morrisville
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 808 (#470) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 659 (#591) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 720 (#722) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.3 (#373) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.2 (#597) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.116 (#623) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.082 (#497) | NetEff -16.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.027 (#633) | AdjNet -30.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.024 (#633) | AdjNet -31.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.147 (#631) | AdjO 52.4 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.233 (#643) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.095 (#665) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.103 (#665) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 548 (#574) | RD 121 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Elmira | L | 47 - 70 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Russell Sage | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | St. John Fisher | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | King's (PA) | L | 43 - 70 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Hartwick | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Keuka | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | L | 41 - 58 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Fredonia | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | L | 56 - 76 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Buffalo St. | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Cortland | L | 49 - 54 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Fredonia | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | L | 45 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | L | 71 - 85 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | L | 44 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Plattsburgh St. | L | 54 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anyssia Ingersoll | - | 15 | 34.6 | 19.8 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 19.8 | 6.8 | -65 | -3.2 | -14.1 | 37.4 | 34.0 | 75.4 | 3.13 | 46.1 | 42.8 |
| Gianna Washington | - | 2 | 34.2 | 19.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 43.8 | 26.7 | 58.3 | 0.47 | 52.3 | 50.0 |
| PLATT, Abbie | - | 1 | 37.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 25.0 | 88.9 | - | 56.0 | 42.3 |
| Sophia Babcock | - | 6 | 26.9 | 9.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 2.0 | -21 | -1.9 | -27.0 | 33.9 | 30.8 | 80.0 | 0.78 | 48.0 | 44.6 |
| Abbie Platt | - | 15 | 31.1 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.8 | 6.7 | -42 | -2.1 | -8.7 | 31.6 | 22.0 | 42.9 | -0.31 | 35.9 | 34.7 |
| INGERSOLL, Anyssia | - | 1 | 39.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 15.8 | 22.2 | 50.0 | - | 22.6 | 21.1 |
| BALDWIN, Celeste | - | 1 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 90.1 | 87.5 |
| Jessalyn Jones | - | 10 | 19.4 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 6.0 | -30 | -2.0 | -155.2 | 43.6 | 38.1 | 88.0 | 0.26 | 59.1 | 50.9 |
| Hayley Dawson | - | 15 | 27.3 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.7 | 3.9 | -39 | -1.9 | -8.7 | 32.2 | 24.1 | 50.0 | 1.17 | 42.0 | 41.3 |
| KALTENBACH, Mia | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 123.0 | 125.0 |
| DAWSON, Hayley | - | 1 | 33.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mia Kaltenbach | - | 15 | 27.5 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 3.0 | -90 | -4.5 | -20.1 | 28.4 | 17.9 | 55.0 | -1.03 | 36.9 | 33.6 |
| Celeste Baldwin | - | 15 | 29.5 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.9 | 4.7 | -79 | -4.2 | -19.6 | 16.3 | 11.4 | 60.0 | -4.05 | 22.6 | 20.7 |
| Cori Vaughn | - | 8 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0.8 | -17 | -1.9 | -15.0 | 26.1 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.58 | 32.3 | 30.4 |
| SMITH, Aniyah | - | 1 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Aniyah Smith | - | 14 | 16.5 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | -50 | -2.9 | -17.0 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 11.1 | -3.54 | 17.6 | 18.2 |
| Kylee Noyes | - | 3 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emmaly Noeller | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.62 | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG