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Colgate Raiders

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Colgate Raiders
Program History
Coach: Matt Langel

2021 Team Stats (3 games)

86.0
PPG
77.3
Opp
+8.7
Margin
48.7%
FG%
53.6%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
40.3
RPG
20.0
APG
13.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
82.9
Adj PPG
69.2
Adj Opp PPG
#21
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1251 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1227 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 1128 (#24) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → +14.2 (#32) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +7.1 (#85) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.911 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.6 More → 0.895 (#35) AdjNet +18.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.7 More → 0.898 (#35) AdjNet +18.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.777 (#21) AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 69.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.699 (#21) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.798 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.784 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 16 More → 1287 (#11) RD 140 | GP 16

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-01-02 vs Army Black Knights W 101 - 57
2021-01-03 vs Army Black Knights L 73 - 75
2021-01-09 @ Boston University Terriers W 86 - 79
2021-01-10 @ Boston University Terriers W 89 - 45
2021-01-16 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 95 - 55
2021-01-17 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 96 - 87
2021-01-23 vs Bucknell Bison - Preview
2021-01-24 vs Bucknell Bison - Preview
2021-01-30 @ Holy Cross Crusaders W 74 - 63
2021-01-31 @ Holy Cross Crusaders W 78 - 60
2021-02-06 vs Boston University Terriers - Postponed
2021-02-07 vs Boston University Terriers - Postponed
2021-02-13 @ Army Black Knights W 84 - 74
2021-02-14 @ Army Black Knights W 92 - 83
2021-02-20 vs Boston University Terriers W 82 - 72
2021-02-21 vs Boston University Terriers W 78 - 63
2021-03-06 vs Boston University Terriers W 77 - 69
2021-03-10 vs Bucknell Bison W 105 - 75
2021-03-14 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 85 - 72
2021-03-19 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 68 - 85

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Burns Jordan Burns G 3 28.3 15.7 3.0 5.0 1.3 0.0 3.7 12.7 8.7 180 15 12.0 16.6 44.7 60.0 100.0 1.82 59.1 56.6
Jack Ferguson Jack Ferguson G 3 24.7 13.0 4.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.3 9.0 8.3 154 15 10.3 19.3 48.1 57.1 71.4 1.53 64.8 63.0
Nelly Cummings Nelly Cummings - 3 26.3 12.7 4.0 2.7 0.7 0.0 2.0 10.3 7.7 165 15 11.0 16.6 38.7 56.2 100.0 2.5 57.2 53.2
Tucker Richardson Tucker Richardson - 16 30.6 11.6 5.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 1.8 3.2 18.2 209 15 13.9 18.3 46.2 28.0 71.4 1.68 159.0 52.9
Keegan Records Keegan Records - 16 22.7 9.1 6.9 1.2 0.3 1.1 0.8 3.2 14.6 156 15 10.4 18.8 51.9 0 45.8 2.33 115.9 51.9
Jeff Woodward Jeff Woodward - 15 16.1 8.0 4.3 1.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.5 13.1 109 14 7.8 18.8 73.9 0 50.0 1.06 219.0 73.9
Ryan Moffatt Ryan Moffatt - 16 22.3 5.2 3.3 0.5 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.1 89 15 5.9 10.6 64.3 100.0 58.3 -3.01 217.8 71.4
Oliver Lynch-Daniels Oliver Lynch-Daniels - 16 13.4 3.7 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 6.4 109 15 7.3 22.0 63.6 66.7 0 2.26 268.2 81.8
Sam Thomson Sam Thomson F 16 8.4 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 3.3 55 15 3.7 18.4 66.7 0.0 57.1 -0.78 113.4 66.7
Capitano, Alex Capitano, Alex - 6 3.7 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 2.0 -5 6 -0.8 -9.9 80.0 50.0 80.0 -2.25 104.2 90.0
David Maynard David Maynard - 3 5.0 1.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.7 66 15 4.4 21.3 50.0 0.0 0 -0.6 50.0 50.0
Zach Light Zach Light G 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -6 6 -1.0 -10.7 0 0 0 -2.41 0 0
Blake Henry Blake Henry F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.7 0.0 0.0
Nicholas Evtimov Nicholas Evtimov F 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.08 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG