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Bucknell Bison 5-7
@
2021-01-24
Colgate Raiders 14-2

Model Predictions

Model Bucknell Bison Colgate Raiders Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 6.8% (#224) 93.2% (#47) Colgate Raiders -17.2 62-79
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 13.4% (#206) 86.6% (#22) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.7% (#252) 98.3% (#32) Colgate Raiders -22.3 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 28.0% (#215) 72.0% (#5) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#235) 99.0% (#35) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#234) 99.0% (#35) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 12.5% (#242) 87.5% (#21) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Bucknell Bison Colgate Raiders
Games 7 16
PPG 78.4 85.2
FG% 48.2% 49.3%
3PT% 34.8% 40.3%
FT% 73.0% 72.3%
RPG 32.7 39.9
APG 11.9 17.6
SPG 5.0 7.1
BPG 3.4 3.4
TOPG 11.9 10.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Bucknell Bison Colgate Raiders
Adj. Off Eff 96.6 109.3
Adj. Def Eff 103.4 90.7
Adj. Net Eff -6.8 18.6

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Bucknell Bison Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Andrew Funk 12.9 4.3 1.5 0.8 0.1 33.8
John Meeks 25.3 6.8 2.3 1.0 0.0 31.2
Walter Ellis 9.1 4.0 2.4 0.7 0.7 29.9
Xander Rice 10.5 2.5 3.3 0.7 0.1 28.2
Miles Latimer 6.0 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.3 21.4

Colgate Raiders Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Tucker Richardson 11.6 5.8 4.3 1.3 0.3 30.6
Jordan Burns 16.8 4.3 5.3 1.6 0.2 29.3
Nelly Cummings 12.4 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 26.6
Keegan Records 9.1 6.9 1.3 0.3 1.1 22.7
Ryan Moffatt 5.3 3.3 0.5 1.2 0.1 22.3