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Coastal Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Program History
Coach: Justin Gray

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

72.6
PPG
72.1
Opp
+0.5
Margin
41.1%
FG%
33.7%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
40.0
RPG
10.6
APG
10.7
TO
80.1
Pace
69.3
AdjO
75.6
AdjD
#258
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1104 (#93) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 988 (#193) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1039 (#125) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -6.3 (#259) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +8.2 (#259) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.431 (#219) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.9 More → 0.580 (#151) NetEff +2.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.5 More → 0.273 (#258) AdjNet -8.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.7 More → 0.268 (#262) AdjNet -8.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.361 (#258) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 75.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.483 (#319) AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.684 (#229) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.649 (#229) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 30 More → 1073 (#166) RD 149 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 71 - 76
2025-11-07 vs Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons W 121 - 44
2025-11-11 vs Winthrop Eagles W 72 - 66
2025-11-14 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 67 - 74
2025-11-21 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks W 84 - 64
2025-11-22 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 75 - 58
2025-11-23 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 42 - 94
2025-11-30 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 67 - 60
2025-12-03 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 78 - 85
2025-12-13 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 61 - 82
2025-12-18 @ App State Mountaineers L 49 - 67
2025-12-20 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 76 - 74
2025-12-22 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 68 - 62
2026-01-01 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 81 - 82
2026-01-03 vs Georgia State Panthers L 71 - 89
2026-01-08 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 66 - 70
2026-01-10 vs App State Mountaineers W 67 - 62
2026-01-14 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 85 - 83
2026-01-22 vs Texas State Bobcats W 72 - 70
2026-01-24 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 85 - 67
2026-01-29 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 48 - 53
2026-01-31 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 83 - 79
2026-02-04 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves L 66 - 70
2026-02-07 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 94 - 91
2026-02-12 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 69 - 65
2026-02-18 vs James Madison Dukes L 65 - 67
2026-02-21 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 79 - 75
2026-02-24 @ Georgia State Panthers W 76 - 71
2026-02-27 @ James Madison Dukes W 69 - 68
2026-03-07 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 72 - 96

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Beadle J. Beadle G 30 32.1 17.9 4.0 2.9 0.9 0.1 2.6 14.7 8.7 -6 -0.2 -0.3 43.2 27.7 79.9 -0.12 52.7 46.7
AJ Dancler AJ Dancler - 30 33.3 15.4 5.4 2.2 0.8 0.1 1.5 12.9 9.5 -61 -2.5 -3.4 40.7 39.2 74.0 -0.84 53.4 49.9
R. Jones R. Jones - 30 36.1 14.1 4.5 2.9 1.0 0.5 1.4 12.1 9.5 -14 -0.5 -0.7 38.6 36.7 77.9 -0.31 52.2 48.1
R. Hill R. Hill - 29 25.3 6.5 5.8 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.4 6.2 6.2 43 1.9 3.4 35.0 33.7 71.8 0.49 47.9 44.7
D. Craig D. Craig G 30 12.4 4.6 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 4.0 2.3 53 2.1 3.9 40.5 37.5 85.7 0.25 55.2 54.1
Nadjrick Peat Nadjrick Peat F 30 23.0 4.3 5.7 0.1 0.3 1.7 1.1 2.3 8.8 25 1.0 2.0 68.1 0 62.5 0.44 68.9 68.1
Tristan Thompson Tristan Thompson - 30 19.0 4.1 3.9 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.7 3.8 5.1 -27 -1.1 -2.4 40.7 16.1 65.9 0.03 47.3 42.9
B. MacVicar B. MacVicar - 22 7.5 2.7 2.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.6 2.3 13 0.6 4.1 29.3 28.8 66.7 0.32 45.7 42.2
J. Ngopot J. Ngopot F 24 7.9 2.2 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.6 2.0 -32 -1.5 -7.1 34.9 28.1 0.0 -0.39 41.2 42.1
Derrick Green Derrick Green - 29 10.7 2.0 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 3.8 -25 -1.1 -4.5 62.5 0 46.2 -0.51 59.0 62.5
C. Dunlap C. Dunlap - 3 4.0 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.7 -2 -0.7 -5.4 100.0 0 0 -0.07 100.0 100.0
J. Keil J. Keil - 6 3.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.5 -2 -0.4 -4.0 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.04 41.0 25.0
A. Mulibea A. Mulibea G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
C. Martin C. Martin - 3 3.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 -0.7 -56 -2.5 -8.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.83 0.0 0.0
Devin Brown Devin Brown F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 33 1.6 3.7 - - - 0.38 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG