Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +18 (67-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jones | 36 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -11.5 |
| R. Hill | 32 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -4.3 |
| AJ Dancler | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -14.1 |
| J. Beadle | 30 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -1.7 |
| N. Peat | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -10.4 |
| D. Craig | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -11.8 |
| J. Ngopot | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.2 |
| T. Thompson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.9 |
| B. MacVicar | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.8 |
| D. Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dodd | 36 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +5.5 |
| K. Jennings | 36 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | +12.6 |
| L. Wilson | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | +5.5 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +12.5 |
| E. Banks | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +7.9 |
| J. Clarke Jr. | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +10.7 |
| C. Moodie | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1.2 |
| J. Tot | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| A. Njock | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
| J. Brim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter