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Cincinnati

Also known as: Cincinnati Bearcats, Cincinnati
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

73.1
PPG
67.6
Opp
+5.5
Margin
43.1%
FG%
33.9%
3P%
68.1%
FT%
37.3
RPG
16.6
APG
11.8
TO
80.0
Pace
74.8
AdjO
60.9
AdjD
#46
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1130 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1072 (#112) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1046 (#111) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +13.7 (#46) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +28.1 (#33) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.698 (#70) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -40.0 More → 0.009 (#357) NetEff -40.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.3 More → 0.892 (#45) AdjNet +18.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.5 More → 0.894 (#45) AdjNet +18.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 60.9 More → 0.780 (#46) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 60.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 64.7 More → 0.689 (#47) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 64.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.904 (#48) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.877 (#51) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 33 More → 1198 (#66) RD 134 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 94 - 63
2025-11-07 vs Georgia State Panthers W 74 - 64
2025-11-11 vs Dayton Flyers W 74 - 62
2025-11-16 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 72 - 55
2025-11-21 vs Louisville Cardinals L 64 - 74
2025-11-24 vs NJIT Highlanders W 94 - 67
2025-11-26 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 56 - 64
2025-12-01 vs Tarleton State Texans W 76 - 58
2025-12-05 @ Xavier Musketeers L 74 - 79
2025-12-13 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 65 - 84
2025-12-17 vs Alabama State Hornets W 88 - 51
2025-12-21 @ Clemson Tigers L 65 - 68
2025-12-29 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 89 - 62
2026-01-03 vs Houston Cougars L 60 - 67
2026-01-06 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 60 - 62
2026-01-11 @ UCF Knights L 72 - 73
2026-01-14 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 77 - 68
2026-01-17 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 79 - 70
2026-01-21 @ Arizona Wildcats L 51 - 77
2026-01-24 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 68 - 82
2026-01-28 vs Baylor Bears W 67 - 57
2026-01-31 @ Houston Cougars L 54 - 76
2026-02-05 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 54 - 59
2026-02-08 vs UCF Knights W 92 - 72
2026-02-11 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 91 - 62
2026-02-15 vs Utah Utes W 69 - 65
2026-02-21 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 84 - 68
2026-02-24 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 68 - 80
2026-02-28 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 91 - 68
2026-03-03 vs BYU Cougars W 90 - 68
2026-03-07 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 63 - 73
2026-03-10 vs Utah Utes W 73 - 66
2026-03-11 @ UCF Knights L 65 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Miller B. Miller F 31 31.9 13.0 10.3 3.7 0.7 1.2 2.2 9.0 17.7 82 3.7 6.5 52.9 19.2 65.8 1.28 58.5 54.6
Moustapha Thiam Moustapha Thiam - 31 27.2 12.8 7.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 1.4 9.8 11.6 84 3.7 6.1 52.5 28.8 63.3 1.02 57.0 54.9
D. Thomas D. Thomas - 33 30.4 11.5 3.1 3.5 1.0 0.5 1.7 9.8 8.1 20 1.7 15.9 37.3 38.1 88.5 0.25 53.5 48.4
J. James J. James G 23 30.0 10.9 2.2 2.1 0.7 0.2 1.7 9.5 5.0 0 0.0 0.0 44.0 44.2 77.3 -0.07 55.1 53.7
J. Celestine J. Celestine - 32 23.8 8.6 3.1 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.7 7.0 6.5 23 1.0 2.1 42.4 40.5 65.2 0.34 58.7 58.0
Shon Abaev Shon Abaev - 24 16.0 7.0 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 1.2 6.5 3.8 25 1.2 3.0 33.5 25.7 64.9 0.2 46.4 41.9
K. Kriisa K. Kriisa G 19 20.9 5.8 1.3 3.0 0.4 0.1 1.3 5.5 3.8 25 1.4 2.9 33.3 32.0 75.0 -0.14 49.9 48.1
S. Harris S. Harris G 31 16.9 5.7 2.7 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.8 5.1 5.4 29 1.3 3.0 38.6 18.2 62.5 0.28 46.1 40.5
Keyshuan Tillery Keyshuan Tillery - 31 12.4 3.8 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.8 25 1.2 4.9 37.0 33.3 70.0 0.45 48.3 44.4
Jordi Rodriguez Jordi Rodriguez - 15 8.1 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 2.3 1.4 -4 -0.3 -1.7 28.6 27.6 60.0 -0.23 43.1 40.0
H. Dzellat H. Dzellat C 26 8.3 2.1 2.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.6 6 0.3 1.8 55.3 0.0 72.2 -0.18 59.9 55.3
T. McKinley T. McKinley - 25 12.1 1.8 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.6 3.0 20 1.1 3.6 51.2 0.0 22.2 0.36 48.9 51.2
J. Haynes J. Haynes F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 16 0.8 1.9 - - - 0.42 - -
G. Darbyshire G. Darbyshire - 7 1.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -0.6 -2 -0.5 -14.6 0.0 0 0 -0.04 0.0 0.0
Bryson Buckingham Bryson Buckingham G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Lucas Atauri Lucas Atauri G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG