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2026-11-02

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 1.5% 98.5% +31.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +28.6 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 1.7% 98.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +26 (79-53). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julen Iturbe * 28 3-8 2-7 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 10 10 +0.4
Madden Collins * 28 5-13 2-4 8-10 2 1 1 0 6 20 5 -
Matt Mayock * 23 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -11.0
Greg Jones * 23 0-5 0-2 4-4 4 2 0 1 0 4 6 -6.5
Eric Michaels * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 4 4 1 +7.8
Wyatt Nausadis 21 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 3 -1 -6.9
Dean Hogans 16 3-12 2-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 1 -
DJ Sandi 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 +0.3
Merrick Smith 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -19.1
Kade Sebastian 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Chris Eagan 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Noah Jones 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -0.7

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
MJ Collins * 25 4-8 1-5 4-4 2 0 4 0 0 13 11 +12.2
Tylen Riley * 23 3-10 0-2 3-4 1 5 1 0 2 9 4 +6.0
Tyler Tejada * 22 5-10 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 13 8 +14.5
Myles Colvin * 14 1-5 0-4 1-1 7 1 0 0 0 3 6 +8.0
Jayden Hastings * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 -0.3
Adlan Elamin 17 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 5 5 -0.9
David Iweze 16 3-5 1-1 1-2 7 1 4 2 2 8 15 +19.4
Akai Fleming 16 4-8 1-1 0-2 6 3 2 1 0 9 13 +1.6
Elijah Perryman 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 0 2 +13.0
Trevian Carson 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 -1.4
Riley Allenspach 13 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 6 3 -9.6
Eric Mahaffey 13 2-5 0-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 6 8 +6.9
Amani Lyles 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 1 +5.7
Deshaun Vaden 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

* = starter