Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Go... | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
5.0% (#99) | 95.0% (#9) | Cincinn... -21.1 | 64-86 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.5% (#105) | 93.5% (#8) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
12.3% (#98) | 87.7% (#8) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
17.0% (#106) | 83.0% (#17) | Cincinn... -17.5 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
17.6% (#107) | 82.4% (#18) | Cincinn... -16.9 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
24.7% (#62) | 75.3% (#17) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
31.0% (#65) | 69.0% (#13) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
30.9% (#65) | 69.1% (#14) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
14.6% (#75) | 85.4% (#12) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
18.9% (#68) | 81.1% (#13) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
21.7% (#83) | 78.3% (#10) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
22.7% (#83) | 77.3% (#10) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
22.3% (#94) | 77.7% (#8) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.5% (#108) | 92.5% (#11) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Minnesota Go... | Cincinnati Bearcats |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 80.5 | 80.0 |
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.6% |
| FT% | 74.3% | 70.0% |
| RPG | 46.5 | 38.5 |
| APG | 23.5 | 20.0 |
| SPG | 5.0 | 12.0 |
| BPG | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| TOPG | 10.0 | 11.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Minnesota Go... | Cincinnati Bearcats |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 109.4 | 108.9 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 90.6 | 91.1 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 18.8 | 17.8 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Minnesota Golden Gophers Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Asuma | 16.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 33.5 |
| Bobby Durkin | 10.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 30.0 |
| Kyan. Evans | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 29.0 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 15.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 24.0 |
| Grayson Grove | 10.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 23.0 |
Cincinnati Bearcats Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins | 13.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 29.5 |
| Myles Colvin | 15.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 24.0 |
| Tyler Tejada | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 |
| Tylen Riley | 5.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 19.5 |
| Eric Mahaffey | 8.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 19.0 |