🐻⬇️🏀

Chowan

Also known as: Chowan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 989 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 997 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1067 (#105) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +2.7 (#198) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.6 (#280) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.652 (#254) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +42.4 More → 0.990 (#94) NetEff +42.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.680 (#310) AdjNet +6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.688 (#311) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.617 (#308) AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.577 (#175) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 76.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.599 (#232) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.599 (#232) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1015 (#213) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Lenoir-Rhyne L 85 - 98
2025-11-15 vs Tusculum W 75 - 68
2025-11-19 vs Virginia St. L 63 - 74
2025-11-22 @ Lees-McRae W 104 - 80
2025-11-25 @ Ferrum W 84 - 71
2025-11-28 vs Lander L 77 - 93
2025-11-29 vs Columbus St. L 68 - 71
2025-12-03 vs Barton W 89 - 82
2025-12-09 @ Catawba L 68 - 71
2025-12-13 vs Emmanuel (GA) W 84 - 73
2025-12-16 vs Francis Marion L 95 - 97
2025-12-18 @ Virginia St. L 72 - 80
2025-12-31 @ West Virginia St. W 66 - 61
2026-01-03 @ Shorter L 84 - 85
2026-01-07 vs Mount Olive W 90 - 77
2026-01-10 vs North Greenville W 70 - 58
2026-01-14 vs UNC Pembroke L 82 - 85
2026-01-17 @ Belmont Abbey W 90 - 69
2026-01-19 vs King (TN) W 100 - 91
2026-01-23 vs Ferrum W 76 - 66
2026-02-04 @ Mount Olive W 79 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Southern Wesleyan L 108 - 117

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cole Deptula - 1 29.9 30.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 17.0 -33 -1.7 -26.2 58.8 58.3 75.0 0.22 80.0 79.4
Adonis Cole - 1 40.5 23.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 15.0 15.0 -102 -5.1 -101.8 53.3 100.0 66.7 0.3 60.7 56.7
Trevur Smalls - 1 27.7 22.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 17.0 72 3.1 18.2 50.0 50.0 83.3 0.79 72.0 60.0
Jaiden Cancela - 1 35.1 20.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 27.0 -8 -0.5 -29.4 62.5 0.0 100.0 -0.49 80.6 62.5
Bryce Jackson - 1 30.5 18.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 13.0 -22 -0.9 -4.0 36.4 0.0 83.3 -1.71 55.3 36.4
Damerius Summers - 17 24.8 17.5 7.3 1.4 0.8 0.9 2.2 12.7 12.9 91 4.1 30.3 53.7 40.6 70.7 0.59 59.8 56.7
TJ Printup - 1 30.5 17.0 5.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 11.0 20.0 -36 -1.6 -7.1 45.5 40.0 55.6 2.23 56.8 54.5
Caleb Reams - 1 37.5 15.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 28 1.3 5.4 60.0 50.0 100.0 1.03 68.9 65.0
Jordan Lambert - 1 29.1 14.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 8.0 18 1.0 25.0 36.4 100.0 100.0 2.05 54.9 45.5
Sean Quick-Streeter - 1 35.5 14.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 11.0 63 2.7 21.7 35.3 20.0 50.0 3.35 39.1 38.2
Trey Fields - 1 23.7 13.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 6.0 -26 -1.1 -7.2 54.5 0.0 100.0 -2.27 56.8 54.5
Nygell Verdier - 1 22.4 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 2.0 87 5.1 43.8 44.4 25.0 60.0 1.09 53.6 50.0
Dominique Bailey - 3 26.7 12.0 3.3 2.0 0.3 0.3 1.0 9.0 8.0 27 5.4 18.2 44.4 54.5 60.0 1.28 57.3 55.6
J3 Swindell - 1 25.8 12.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -60 -3.5 -38.7 50.0 0.0 85.7 -1.56 66.1 50.0
Eric Gordon Jr. - 17 28.6 11.2 1.6 3.4 0.9 0.0 1.8 9.7 5.6 84 3.8 24.1 38.2 38.2 86.7 2.34 53.6 50.0
Clyde Mauldin - 1 16.9 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 -32 -1.8 -36.4 66.7 100.0 50.0 -0.68 70.9 75.0
Mahmoud Bangura - 1 22.2 11.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 13.0 -76 -4.5 -34.2 40.0 0 87.5 1.12 64.6 40.0
Joe'l Pettiford - 1 14.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 15 0.8 10.5 83.3 0 50.0 0.41 79.9 83.3
Jared Clawson - 1 24.1 11.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 14.0 -26 -1.2 -10.3 42.9 50.0 75.0 3.99 62.8 57.1
Chris Nobles - 1 26.1 11.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 20 1.1 11.5 100.0 0 75.0 0.32 95.5 100.0
William Hynes - 17 29.0 10.4 4.4 2.7 0.9 0.6 2.3 7.5 9.1 80 3.6 27.1 39.1 32.8 78.1 0.91 55.3 46.9
Markell Hollis - 17 18.5 10.2 2.9 1.2 1.4 0.6 1.0 7.4 7.8 -9 -0.4 -3.8 54.8 28.1 89.7 -2.97 62.3 58.3
Quay Watson - 1 23.4 10.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 1.0 48 3.4 95.5 25.0 42.9 100.0 -0.27 40.2 37.5
Joe Lazeau II - 16 17.4 9.6 4.4 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.8 5.9 9.4 -19 -3.2 -10.9 45.7 31.2 85.3 -2.38 62.1 51.1
Israel Powell - 17 25.9 9.5 3.2 1.6 1.0 0.2 1.1 8.3 6.2 81 3.7 31.0 36.9 29.4 84.1 3.38 50.2 44.0
Brandon Hilliard - 1 31.2 9.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 8.0 -63 -3.7 -60.4 37.5 50.0 100.0 -1.92 50.7 43.8
Patrick Antonelli - 1 31.4 8.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 17.0 -34 -1.9 -30.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.99 70.9 33.3
Tahj Johnson - 1 14.5 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 71 3.7 43.4 100.0 0 50.0 1.12 90.2 100.0
Jonathan Kurtas - 1 25.8 7.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 91 4.8 73.0 50.0 0 50.0 0.15 52.7 50.0
William Hopkins - 1 26.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 3.0 22 1.0 10.7 25.0 0.0 75.0 1.19 35.9 25.0
Amari Allen - 1 23.6 7.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 5.0 -22 -3.1 -6.7 37.5 0 50.0 -2.0 39.4 37.5
Dallas Whitney - 1 28.1 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 100 5.3 39.0 42.9 0.0 0 4.23 42.9 42.9
Tim Uzochuwku - 1 12.3 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 95 5.0 48.9 75.0 0 0 0.91 75.0 75.0
Amare Wimbush - 1 13.2 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 34 1.8 19.0 50.0 0 0.0 -0.65 43.6 50.0
Malachi Hale - 1 20.2 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 34 1.4 13.8 100.0 100.0 0.0 1.04 123.0 150.0
Damien Robinson - 11 21.8 5.2 7.0 1.3 0.7 0.7 1.4 4.1 9.5 85 4.2 69.8 51.1 100.0 52.6 1.66 53.4 52.2
Jaylen Faber - 1 26.8 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 -3.0 15 0.7 3.6 20.0 16.7 0 -0.73 25.0 25.0
Marcus Jackson - 1 11.9 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -36 -2.4 -26.7 50.0 0 0.0 -0.78 41.0 50.0
Jaylen Wynn - 1 9.2 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 -1 -0.1 -7.9 50.0 0 0 -0.84 50.0 50.0
Damjan Vukčević - 1 16.1 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 -120 -4.0 -43.2 66.7 0 0 -1.2 66.7 66.7
Jeremiah Wilson - 1 6.3 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -10 -0.6 -7.9 100.0 0 0 2.04 100.0 100.0
Dapo Kruyswijk - 17 9.4 3.0 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 3.5 1.6 -8 -0.4 -13.0 31.7 26.9 75.0 -0.19 40.1 37.5
Demar Anderson - 1 13.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 59 3.7 49.3 33.3 50.0 0 2.35 50.0 50.0
DeShawn Goodwyn - 1 14.6 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 -2.0 -23 -2.6 -587.2 11.1 20.0 0 0.13 16.7 16.7
Martinie Kamga - 13 9.5 2.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.5 3.5 -15 -0.9 -17.8 63.2 0 54.5 1.0 62.9 63.2
Jamari Cullen - 1 8.8 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -11 -2.2 -96.7 0.0 0.0 66.7 -1.21 30.1 0.0
AuMauri Tillman - 1 27.1 2.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 -5.0 -17 -0.9 -17.7 10.0 0.0 0 0.04 10.0 10.0
Cristian Rosado - 1 3.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Tyrek Williams - 1 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 3 0.6 5.8 100.0 0 0.0 -0.84 69.4 100.0
Isaiah Davis - 1 13.8 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -43 -2.0 -17.0 50.0 0.0 0 -0.32 50.0 50.0
Amari Gorham - 13 9.2 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.2 -23 -1.4 -31.9 46.7 16.7 80.0 0.13 55.2 50.0
Zach Riddle - 9 6.3 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 3 0.3 19.7 45.5 50.0 0.0 0.17 48.1 50.0
Farid SaintCyr Jr. - 1 22.8 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -5.0 -65 -3.8 -55.3 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.39 6.3 0.0
Cameron Spencer - 2 5.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Jalen Hines - 12 6.2 0.4 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.8 -7 -0.5 -26.5 18.2 0.0 33.3 0.3 20.3 18.2
Duncan Alevok - 1 6.6 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -13 -0.7 -16.4 0.0 0 0 2.43 0.0 0.0
William Asken - 1 4.7 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -33 -1.6 -61.3 0 0 0 -1.42 0 0
Shannon Davis - 1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 3.3 62.3 0 0 0 1.32 0 0
Troy Santos - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -62 -3.6 -222.4 0.0 0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0
Tyrese Melo-Garcia - 1 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 4 0.2 4.3 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0
Cameron Walker - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
John Uzochukwu - 1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.3 -76.6 0 0 0 0.13 0 0
J.J. Dancy - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38 2.2 53.4 0 0 0 -0.86 0 0
Daniel Greene - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Christian Taylor - 1 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -3.0 51 2.5 15.9 0.0 0 0 2.09 0.0 0.0
Jordan Attia - 1 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -17 -0.8 -4.5 0 0 0 -1.97 0 0
Wesley Johnson - 1 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 -24 -1.1 -6.4 0.0 0 0 4.7 0.0 0.0
Taj Kimber - 1 12.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -2.0 33 2.2 25.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.48 0.0 0.0
Denaj Kimber - 1 16.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -47 -3.1 -27.4 0.0 0.0 0 2.17 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG