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Chicago State

Also known as: Chicago State Cougars
Program History

2016 Team Stats (3 games)

55.3
PPG
72.3
Opp
-17.0
Margin
34.6%
FG%
30.2%
3P%
66.0%
FT%
37.0
RPG
10.0
APG
16.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.9
Adj PPG
77.4
Adj Opp PPG
#343
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 551 (#349) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 583 (#351) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More โ†’ 793 (#351) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -16.2 (#342) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -18.0 (#349) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.067 (#350) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.5 More โ†’ 0.062 (#343) AdjNet -23.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.7 More โ†’ 0.060 (#343) AdjNet -23.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 77.4 More โ†’ 0.196 (#343) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 77.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 76.1 More โ†’ 0.220 (#351) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 76.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.119 (#349) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.122 (#350) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 29 More โ†’ 587 (#351) RD 148 | GP 29

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Illinois Tech Scarlet Hawks W 137 - 59
2015-11-16 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 64 - 106
2015-11-18 vs IU Northwest INDIANA-NORTHWEST W 105 - 64
2015-11-21 vs Trinity International Trojans W 81 - 70
2015-11-23 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 79 - 82
2015-11-27 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 65 - 68
2015-11-28 vs Alabama State Hornets L 64 - 66
2015-12-02 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 58 - 80
2015-12-05 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 72 - 96
2015-12-11 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 53 - 71
2015-12-13 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 35 - 77
2015-12-16 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 52 - 70
2015-12-19 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 77 - 70
2015-12-21 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 74 - 91
2015-12-28 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 93 - 101
2015-12-31 @ Ball State Cardinals L 48 - 73
2016-01-09 vs Seattle U Redhawks L 50 - 66
2016-01-11 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 56 - 67
2016-01-14 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 72 - 82
2016-01-16 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 62 - 80
2016-01-19 vs Green Bay Phoenix L 66 - 99
2016-01-21 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 65 - 90
2016-01-23 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 76 - 82
2016-01-30 @ Kansas City Roos L 64 - 78
2016-02-04 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 56 - 59
2016-02-06 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 48 - 71
2016-02-13 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 55 - 69
2016-02-18 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 72 - 74
2016-02-20 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 52 - 67
2016-02-28 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 79 - 89
2016-03-05 vs Kansas City Roos L 53 - 82
2016-03-10 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 57 - 79

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Fred Sims Fred Sims G 28 20.6 11.0 2.4 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.1 1.4 12.7 -195 21 -9.3 -19.1 27.5 10.0 66.7 -4.02 362.3 28.7
Kieran Woods Kieran Woods G 20 21.9 9.8 4.3 2.8 1.8 0.3 2.4 1.9 14.7 -71 12 -5.9 -12.0 37.8 11.1 61.1 3.01 217.1 39.2
Trayvon Palmer Trayvon Palmer G 27 29.9 9.5 7.7 1.4 1.3 1.0 2.4 1.0 17.6 -217 20 -10.8 -15.7 25.9 12.5 56.2 -1.26 377.5 27.8
Clemmye Owens Clemmye Owens G 19 25.3 9.3 2.6 1.8 1.1 0.0 1.3 1.3 12.2 -98 18 -5.4 -10.7 33.3 35.3 0 0.66 366.7 45.8
Elliott Cole Elliott Cole G 25 18.9 9.3 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.0 1.8 1.4 10.2 -105 18 -5.8 -14.9 20.0 16.0 50.0 -1.52 323.3 25.7
Jawad Adekoya Jawad Adekoya F 21 18.1 7.3 2.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.6 8.5 -102 13 -7.8 -20.6 33.3 41.2 71.4 -2.03 212.0 43.9
Anthony Eaves Anthony Eaves G 26 14.3 5.7 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 1.5 1.5 6.8 -91 20 -4.5 -13.9 52.5 52.2 100.0 -2.08 184.2 67.5
Jared Dimakos Jared Dimakos F 4 13.8 4.8 3.0 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Madrid-Andrews Jordan Madrid-Andrews F 28 14.8 3.7 3.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.7 6.5 -158 22 -7.2 -21.5 52.6 0.0 66.7 -3.01 238.0 52.6
Devon Friend Devon Friend NA 18 15.5 3.6 2.9 0.2 0.7 0.4 1.1 0.9 5.9 -36 15 -2.4 -6.4 50.0 0 42.9 1.33 170.3 50.0
Quron Davis Quron Davis C 28 15.8 3.4 3.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 6.5 -144 21 -6.9 -18.5 26.7 0 66.7 -3.51 236.7 26.7
Montana Byrd Montana Byrd G 26 11.3 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 4.4 -93 19 -4.9 -19.9 6.2 0.0 0 -3.78 237.5 6.2
Delundre Dixon Delundre Dixon G 22 13.1 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.5 4.1 -19 16 -1.2 -4.4 36.4 0.0 66.7 1.31 183.8 36.4
Joshua Batson Joshua Batson G 28 17.4 2.1 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.8 4.6 -190 22 -8.6 -21.4 31.8 28.6 75.0 -5.33 124.2 36.4
Gentry Hunt Gentry Hunt G 6 2.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.37 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG