🐻⬇️🏀

Charleston So.

Also known as: Charleston So.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1050 (#179) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1085 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 990 (#528) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +10.8 (#221) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.997 (#124) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.0 More → 0.875 (#191) AdjNet +17.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.0 More → 0.882 (#190) AdjNet +17.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 93.2 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.848 (#145) AdjO 93.2 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.788 (#35) AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 73.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.736 (#162) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.735 (#160) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 328 | GP 3 More → 1176 (#84) RD 328 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Capital W 71 - 70
2025-11-25 vs Waynesburg W 109 - 56
2025-11-25 vs Piedmont W 93 - 81
2025-12-04 vs Warren Wilson W 124 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Armari Carraway - 2 23.4 22.5 5.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 14.5 13.0 - - - 48.3 51.9 60.0 - 72.1 72.4
Jesse Hafemeister - 2 19.7 17.0 8.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 15.5 - - - 72.2 61.5 0.0 - 92.2 94.4
Brycen Blaine - 2 18.4 13.5 5.5 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 9.0 13.5 - - - 50.0 30.8 100.0 - 66.8 61.1
Tre Beard - 1 34.8 13.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 - - - 44.4 50.0 66.7 - 63.0 61.1
Chevalier Emery - 2 20.8 12.5 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 9.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 69.4 69.4
Dayan Nessah - 2 27.0 12.5 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 9.0 12.5 - - - 55.6 0.0 45.5 - 54.7 55.6
Preist Ryan - 2 18.4 11.5 4.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 9.5 10.5 -10 -0.5 -3.1 47.4 0 71.4 0.65 52.1 47.4
Jacob Taylor - 2 23.1 11.5 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 6.5 10.5 53 4.1 31.0 61.5 62.5 66.7 1.63 80.3 80.8
David Giddens - 2 16.7 10.5 4.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 7.5 7.5 - - - 46.7 33.3 100.0 - 64.3 60.0
Holden Pierre-Louis - 1 17.6 10.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 71.4 0 0.0 - 67.2 71.4
Easton Hupp - 1 14.7 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 0.0 - - - 30.0 28.6 100.0 - 46.0 40.0
Nate Brafford - 2 21.4 9.5 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 12.0 - - - 46.7 30.0 100.0 - 59.8 56.7
Manny Hill - 2 12.2 8.5 2.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 23 2.3 18.8 70.0 100.0 100.0 1.12 78.1 75.0
Luke Williams - 2 28.9 7.5 4.0 9.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 7.5 12.5 - - - 33.3 25.0 75.0 - 44.7 40.0
Devin Brafford - 2 12.2 7.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 4.5 11.0 - - - 44.4 16.7 71.4 - 57.9 50.0
Reis Jones - 2 11.7 5.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.5 3.5 7.5 17 1.2 29.8 57.1 0 100.0 0.57 66.1 57.1
Lucas Burton - 2 8.7 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 4.5 4.5 - - - 55.6 0 0.0 - 53.0 55.6
Ivan Spirov - 2 10.6 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.5 - - - 62.5 0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Foster Wonders - 1 18.3 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Jaidon Lipscomb - 2 24.5 4.0 3.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 - - - 22.2 14.3 75.0 - 37.2 27.8
Jaquias Franklin - 2 12.4 4.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 3.5 - - - 33.3 25.0 0 - 44.4 44.4
A.J. Gladieux - 1 10.9 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Josiah Harris - 1 25.9 4.0 14.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 13.0 -3 -1.0 -14.5 25.0 0.0 66.7 0.86 37.6 25.0
Kamari Jones - 2 7.7 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.5 23 1.1 11.0 50.0 33.3 0 -1.7 58.3 58.3
Trent Coleman - 2 9.3 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 66.7 - 56.4 50.0
Kevo St.Hilaire - 2 5.4 1.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Lase Olalere - 2 6.8 0.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 4.0 - - - 0.0 0 25.0 - 18.1 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG