Central Penn
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#606) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -70.5 (#728) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.253 (#560) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.009 (#668) | AdjNet -40.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.007 (#669) | AdjNet -42.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.090 (#667) | AdjO 39.4 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.091 (#706) | AdjO 47.1 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.020 (#715) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.022 (#716) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 745 (#511) | RD 233 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Valley Forge | L | 50 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyree Roberson-Waters | - | 1 | 38.1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 40.3 | 42.9 |
| Mikayla Kirby | - | 1 | 35.9 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 58.3 | - | 37.6 | 28.1 |
| Jayla Pearson | - | 1 | 36.7 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0 | 0 | - | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Diamond Whitaker | - | 1 | 32.4 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Karen Kirby | - | 1 | 22.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Sidney Green | - | 1 | 34.7 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 97 | 6.9 | 75.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG