Valley Forge
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 868 (#441) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 635 (#596) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 731 (#717) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -70.7 (#435) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -68.5 (#727) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#727) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#594) | NetEff -55.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#754) | AdjNet -86.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#753) | AdjNet -90.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.008 (#753) | AdjO 32.9 | AdjD 85.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.011 (#729) | AdjO 30.6 | AdjD 80.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.004 (#729) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.004 (#729) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 527 (#581) | RD 120 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Penn St.-Hazleton | L | 35 - 72 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Penn St.-Scranton | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lycoming | L | 36 - 83 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Wilson | L | 46 - 81 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Manor | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | L | 39 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Cedar Crest | L | 38 - 89 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Penn St. Brandywine | L | 42 - 64 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Cairn | L | 41 - 77 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 35 - 81 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Lancaster Bible | L | 25 - 63 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Penn St.-Scranton | L | 36 - 63 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Gallaudet | L | 21 - 78 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Central Penn | W | 59 - 50 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Penn College | L | 20 - 90 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 15 - 100 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gigi Parlante | - | 1 | 21.0 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 31.0 | 97 | 6.9 | 52.4 | 83.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.89 | 79.9 | 83.3 |
| Natalie Greene | - | 1 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | -90 | -9.0 | -88.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.68 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Lucy Mauerman | - | 12 | 39.3 | 18.4 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 6.5 | 15.4 | 6.3 | -310 | -31.0 | -310.0 | 34.1 | 33.3 | 62.5 | -4.42 | 47.2 | 40.8 |
| N. Jones | - | 1 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 60 | 3.5 | 15.9 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 1.05 | 39.8 | 35.3 |
| Mia Patterson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 19 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 61.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.92 | 61.5 | 61.5 |
| Lexi Troup | - | 1 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 92 | 8.4 | 49.6 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.23 | 53.3 | 53.3 |
| Kayla DeBrow | - | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 10.5 | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.6 | 78.1 | 71.4 |
| Mackenzie Schirg | - | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | -137 | -9.1 | -125.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 75.0 | -2.95 | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| L. Mauerman | - | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -310 | -31.0 | -310.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -4.42 | 48.1 | 33.3 |
| Nyla Jones | - | 4 | 37.2 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 | -1.2 | 60 | 3.5 | 15.9 | 30.6 | 25.0 | 88.2 | 1.05 | 46.0 | 34.7 |
| Kasey Weibley | - | 1 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 43.1 | 40.0 |
| Seanna Baird | - | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | -197 | -14.1 | -148.1 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.45 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kayla Herzer | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 85 | 5.3 | 45.8 | 80.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.66 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Sunita Schmidjorg | - | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -58 | -8.3 | -49.9 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Evangeline Diaz | - | 1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -70 | -3.9 | -98.1 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0 | -2.94 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Sophia Wascher | - | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -79 | -6.1 | -68.2 | 40.0 | 0 | 33.3 | 1.2 | 39.6 | 40.0 |
| Gina Melendez | - | 12 | 37.5 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 8.3 | -3.2 | -222 | -22.2 | -222.0 | 19.0 | 14.7 | 66.7 | -4.42 | 27.2 | 24.0 |
| Telia Robinson | - | 12 | 34.2 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.6 | 0.6 | -293 | -32.6 | -293.0 | 32.9 | 0.0 | 46.2 | -4.42 | 34.2 | 32.9 |
| Ruth Tilton | - | 12 | 37.2 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 2.8 | -248 | -22.5 | -265.1 | 24.7 | 14.5 | 50.0 | -5.02 | 30.8 | 29.9 |
| Hadassah Sklar | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -30 | -6.0 | -90.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.66 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Raeanna Andreas | - | 1 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 88 | 5.5 | 43.4 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.97 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Breana Valentine | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 109 | 7.3 | 41.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.93 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lily Reid | - | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 162 | 7.4 | 30.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 4.18 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Naomi Spinosa | - | 12 | 33.8 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 0.5 | -203 | -20.3 | -256.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 65.0 | -2.12 | 39.6 | 33.3 |
| G. Melendez | - | 1 | 33.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | -3.0 | -222 | -22.2 | -222.0 | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -4.42 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| R. Tilton | - | 1 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -248 | -22.5 | -265.1 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -5.02 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| T. Robinson | - | 1 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -4.0 | -293 | -32.6 | -293.0 | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | -4.42 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Dev Sklar | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -27 | -6.8 | -109.5 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.95 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Kate Aquino Uribe | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -107 | -9.7 | -125.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.48 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Eliza Newcomer | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kenni Galbreath | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 71 | 4.4 | 34.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Hailey Theuret | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5 | 0.4 | 8.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| N. Spinosa | - | 1 | 37.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -4.0 | -203 | -20.3 | -256.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.12 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Emily Woolson | - | 1 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | -14 | -1.8 | -1120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
| Grace Schmidheini | - | 8 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -115 | -9.6 | -421.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| P. McCray | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Joanie Wood | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -207 | -10.3 | -123.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Mariyah Saldana | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -60 | -12.0 | -325.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.85 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Navia Rodriguez | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG