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Valley Forge

Also known as: Valley Forge
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 868 (#441) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 635 (#596) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 731 (#717) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -70.7 (#435) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -68.5 (#727) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.004 (#727) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -55.7 More → 0.000 (#594) NetEff -55.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -86.7 More → 0.000 (#754) AdjNet -86.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -90.4 More → 0.000 (#753) AdjNet -90.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 32.9 | AdjD 85.5 More → 0.008 (#753) AdjO 32.9 | AdjD 85.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 30.6 | AdjD 80.0 More → 0.011 (#729) AdjO 30.6 | AdjD 80.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.004 (#729) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.004 (#729) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 19 More → 527 (#581) RD 120 | GP 19

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Penn St.-Hazleton L 35 - 72
2025-11-12 vs Penn St.-Scranton L 59 - 70
2025-11-15 vs Lycoming L 36 - 83
2025-11-18 @ Wilson L 46 - 81
2025-11-19 vs Manor L 0 - 0
2025-12-03 @ Penn St.-Berks L 39 - 68
2026-01-10 @ Cedar Crest L 38 - 89
2026-01-13 vs Penn St. Brandywine L 42 - 64
2026-01-17 @ Cairn L 41 - 77
2026-01-21 @ Penn St. Harrisburg L 35 - 81
2026-01-24 vs Lancaster Bible L 25 - 63
2026-01-29 vs Penn St.-Scranton L 36 - 63
2026-01-31 @ Gallaudet L 21 - 78
2026-02-02 vs Central Penn W 59 - 50
2026-02-04 @ Penn College L 20 - 90
2026-02-07 vs St. Mary's (MD) L 15 - 100

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gigi Parlante - 1 21.0 22.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 31.0 97 6.9 52.4 83.3 0 50.0 1.89 79.9 83.3
Natalie Greene - 1 21.0 21.0 17.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 20.0 -90 -9.0 -88.5 50.0 0 83.3 0.68 56.3 50.0
Lucy Mauerman - 12 39.3 18.4 5.9 2.1 1.2 0.7 6.5 15.4 6.3 -310 -31.0 -310.0 34.1 33.3 62.5 -4.42 47.2 40.8
N. Jones - 1 35.0 16.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 3.0 60 3.5 15.9 35.3 0.0 57.1 1.05 39.8 35.3
Mia Patterson - 1 21.0 16.0 5.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 16.0 19 1.2 9.1 61.5 0 0 0.92 61.5 61.5
Lexi Troup - 1 23.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 12.0 92 8.4 49.6 53.3 0.0 0 3.23 53.3 53.3
Kayla DeBrow - 1 22.0 13.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 7.0 14.0 12 0.7 10.5 71.4 0 100.0 -2.6 78.1 71.4
Mackenzie Schirg - 1 21.0 11.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 -137 -9.1 -125.9 66.7 0 75.0 -2.95 70.9 66.7
L. Mauerman - 1 29.0 10.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 -310 -31.0 -310.0 33.3 0.0 60.0 -4.42 48.1 33.3
Nyla Jones - 4 37.2 10.0 3.2 1.2 1.8 0.0 8.5 9.0 -1.2 60 3.5 15.9 30.6 25.0 88.2 1.05 46.0 34.7
Kasey Weibley - 1 12.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 - - - 40.0 0 100.0 - 43.1 40.0
Seanna Baird - 1 23.0 8.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 0.0 -197 -14.1 -148.1 25.0 40.0 0 -0.45 33.3 33.3
Kayla Herzer - 1 16.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 15.0 85 5.3 45.8 80.0 0 0 1.66 80.0 80.0
Sunita Schmidjorg - 1 19.0 7.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 -58 -8.3 -49.9 42.9 50.0 0 -0.13 50.0 50.0
Evangeline Diaz - 1 25.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 8.0 -70 -3.9 -98.1 28.6 33.3 0 -2.94 35.7 35.7
Sophia Wascher - 1 19.0 5.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 -79 -6.1 -68.2 40.0 0 33.3 1.2 39.6 40.0
Gina Melendez - 12 37.5 4.8 2.5 1.4 1.0 0.0 4.7 8.3 -3.2 -222 -22.2 -222.0 19.0 14.7 66.7 -4.42 27.2 24.0
Telia Robinson - 12 34.2 4.8 3.9 0.1 1.3 0.0 3.0 6.6 0.6 -293 -32.6 -293.0 32.9 0.0 46.2 -4.42 34.2 32.9
Ruth Tilton - 12 37.2 4.1 7.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 4.3 6.4 2.8 -248 -22.5 -265.1 24.7 14.5 50.0 -5.02 30.8 29.9
Hadassah Sklar - 1 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -30 -6.0 -90.3 50.0 0.0 0 -1.66 50.0 50.0
Raeanna Andreas - 1 28.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 4.0 88 5.5 43.4 28.6 0.0 0 -0.97 28.6 28.6
Breana Valentine - 1 14.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 109 7.3 41.9 50.0 0 0 1.93 50.0 50.0
Lily Reid - 1 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 162 7.4 30.8 66.7 0 0 4.18 66.7 66.7
Naomi Spinosa - 12 33.8 3.8 4.1 1.1 0.9 0.0 5.3 4.0 0.5 -203 -20.3 -256.4 33.3 0.0 65.0 -2.12 39.6 33.3
G. Melendez - 1 33.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 7.0 -3.0 -222 -22.2 -222.0 14.3 20.0 0 -4.42 21.4 21.4
R. Tilton - 1 36.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 -248 -22.5 -265.1 20.0 25.0 0 -5.02 30.0 30.0
T. Robinson - 1 27.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 -4.0 -293 -32.6 -293.0 12.5 0 0 -4.42 12.5 12.5
Dev Sklar - 1 10.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 -27 -6.8 -109.5 20.0 0.0 0 -2.95 20.0 20.0
Kate Aquino Uribe - 1 19.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 -107 -9.7 -125.1 100.0 0 0 -3.48 100.0 100.0
Eliza Newcomer - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 0 -0.33 50.0 50.0
Kenni Galbreath - 1 18.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 71 4.4 34.0 33.3 0.0 0 -0.76 33.3 33.3
Hailey Theuret - 1 17.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 5 0.4 8.0 50.0 0 0 -0.7 50.0 50.0
N. Spinosa - 1 37.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 -4.0 -203 -20.3 -256.4 0.0 0 50.0 -2.12 12.9 0.0
Emily Woolson - 1 13.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 1.0 -14 -1.8 -1120.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.07 5.1 0.0
Grace Schmidheini - 8 7.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 -115 -9.6 -421.4 0.0 0 0 -1.7 0.0 0.0
P. McCray - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Joanie Wood - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -207 -10.3 -123.4 0 0 0 -1.86 0 0
Mariyah Saldana - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 -60 -12.0 -325.1 0.0 0.0 0 -1.85 0.0 0.0
Navia Rodriguez - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG