Cal Poly Mustangs - 2020

2020 Team Stats (4 games)

61.0

PPG

56.0

Opp

+5.0

Margin

43.6%

FG%

38.0%

3P%

79.2%

FT%

40.3

RPG

11.0

APG

17.3

TO

72.7

Pace

Model Outputs

2019-2020

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	765 (#428)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	961 (#300)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More →	+14.7 (#271)	HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.237 (#309)	-

2020 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2019-11-30	vs	Lamar Cardinals	W	57 - 56
2020-02-12	@	UC Davis Aggies	L	58 - 71
2020-03-10	@	Long Beach State Beach	W	59 - 48
2020-03-11	@	UC Irvine Anteaters	W	70 - 49
2020-03-13	@	UC Davis Aggies	-	Preview

2020 Roster

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Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
A. Ellis	G	4	36.2	22.8	4.8	2.0	2.0	0.0	4.8	14.8	12.0	18	0.9	4.8	54.2	46.2	78.9	1.48	67.5	64.4
S. Campisano	F	4	34.5	16.8	7.0	2.8	1.0	0.0	3.0	12.2	12.2	-	-	-	40.8	57.1	85.2	0.94	55.0	44.9
A. Roufosse	F	4	32.8	10.8	7.5	1.2	0.5	0.2	2.0	8.5	9.8	-	-	-	50.0	0	81.8	-0.15	55.4	50.0
M. Vick	G	1	14.0	4.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.0	1.0	-	-	-	20.0	0.0	100.0	-0.0	34.0	20.0
K. Brown	F	4	10.0	3.5	3.2	0.0	0.2	0.2	1.5	1.2	4.5	38	1.6	6.5	80.0	0	75.0	1.21	82.2	80.0
C. Govan	G	4	25.0	2.2	1.8	1.2	1.2	0.0	1.2	3.2	2.0	-	-	-	23.1	16.7	50.0	0.51	30.5	26.9
H. Peterson	G	4	21.2	2.0	3.5	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.8	2.5	3.2	-	-	-	30.0	20.0	50.0	0.99	36.8	35.0
M. Holt	G	4	28.2	1.5	2.5	2.8	0.2	0.0	3.0	1.8	2.2	-	-	-	14.3	100.0	75.0	-0.13	34.2	21.4
J. Smith	G	3	6.0	0.7	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.7	0.0	1	1.0	22.9	50.0	0	0	2.57	50.0	50.0
G. Silvestri	G	3	3.3	0.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	0.31	0.0	0.0
L. Svetich	G	2	2.5	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	4	0.6	2.9	0	0	0	0.26	0	0
L. Hunter	G	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	-1.0	-	-	-	0.0	0	0	-0.14	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG