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Cal Poly Mustangs 58
@
UC Davis Aggies 71
2020-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 4.7% 95.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% - ✓
Margin 8.6% 91.4% +13.0 ✓ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 21.9% 78.1% - ✓

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ellis 37 7-17 2-7 5-6 4 2 3 0 1 21 12 -
C. Govan 32 0-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Campisano 31 5-8 0-1 7-9 5 2 2 0 1 17 17 -
A. Roufosse 24 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 8 4 -
H. Peterson 20 1-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
M. Holt 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Brown 16 0-0 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 0 3 2 8 -
M. Vick 14 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
G. Silvestri 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Svetich 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Stobbart 33 7-11 3-6 0-0 10 3 0 2 1 17 20 -
M. Trpcic 32 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 0 0 -
C. Hall 26 5-7 2-4 2-6 6 3 1 0 2 14 15 -
K. Toole 26 5-7 1-2 2-4 4 5 2 2 2 13 17 -
E. Turner 22 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 9 -
K. Konrad 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 0 3 4 5 -
S. Song 20 2-10 2-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 0 -
M. Sanders 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
C. Gray 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
E. Gibb 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter