Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pimentel | 34 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| A. Vidal | 27 | 2-12 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| A. Miles | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Cowart | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hastings | 19 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Laidler | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Pierson | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| U. Collins | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ellis | 37 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 3 | - |
| A. Roufosse | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| S. Campisano | 29 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| H. Peterson | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Holt | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| K. Brown | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Govan | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| G. Silvestri | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter