🐻⬇️🏀

Cal Poly Mustangs

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

58.0
PPG
86.0
Opp
-28.0
Margin
32.0%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
28.5
RPG
9.5
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.5
Adj PPG
60.7
Adj Opp PPG
#88
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1082 (#112) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1111 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More → 1090 (#61) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +7.6 (#88) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +8.3 (#77) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.704 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.1 More → 0.820 (#83) AdjNet +13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.3 More → 0.825 (#83) AdjNet +13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 60.7 More → 0.651 (#88) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 60.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 58.3 More → 0.650 (#66) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 58.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.716 (#76) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.716 (#73) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 30 More → 1133 (#81) RD 112 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 59 - 90
2012-11-12 @ Oregon State Beavers W 72 - 62
2012-11-17 vs San Diego Toreros W 69 - 50
2012-11-19 @ California Golden Bears L 61 - 87
2012-11-29 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 67 - 70
2012-12-02 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 72 - 63
2012-12-16 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 56 - 73
2012-12-18 vs San Francisco Dons L 67 - 71
2012-12-20 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 84 - 71
2013-01-03 @ Long Beach State Beach L 52 - 62
2013-01-05 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 64 - 46
2013-01-10 vs UC Davis Aggies W 73 - 71
2013-01-12 vs Pacific Tigers W 96 - 95
2013-01-19 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 66 - 47
2013-01-24 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine L 43 - 61
2013-01-26 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 70 - 80
2013-01-31 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 78 - 40
2013-02-02 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 79 - 56
2013-02-07 @ Pacific Tigers W 62 - 59
2013-02-09 @ UC Davis Aggies L 69 - 79
2013-02-16 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 65 - 56
2013-02-21 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 66 - 49
2013-02-23 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine W 47 - 43
2013-02-28 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 94 - 59
2013-03-02 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 72 - 47
2013-03-07 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 76 - 36
2013-03-09 vs Long Beach State Beach L 58 - 71
2013-03-15 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 62 - 43
2013-03-16 @ Pacific Tigers W 63 - 49
2013-03-24 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 55 - 85

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Schlemer M. Schlemer C 2 0.0 17.0 6.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 13.5 9.0 86 20 4.3 8.5 59.3 0 100.0 1.25 61.0 59.3
K. Griffin K. Griffin NA 1 0.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 3.0 136 19 7.2 9.7 41.7 60.0 0 2.53 54.2 54.2
J. Ervin J. Ervin NA 1 0.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 6.0 195 17 11.5 16.6 20.0 0.0 100.0 6.03 39.6 20.0
B. Woodard B. Woodard NA 1 0.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 -45 10 -4.5 -8.4 42.9 50.0 50.0 -5.9 51.9 50.0
C. Reeves C. Reeves NA 2 0.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 -1.0 53 20 2.6 4.5 18.8 25.0 0.0 -1.36 21.3 21.9
D. Salisbery D. Salisbery G 2 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 8.0 -4.5 90 19 4.7 7.0 6.2 14.3 60.0 -0.18 16.5 9.4
N. Allison N. Allison NA 1 0.0 3.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 53 20 2.6 6.5 20.0 0 16.7 -1.08 19.6 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG