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2013-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Penn State Lady Lions Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% -
Bradley-Terry 11.3% 88.7% -
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Penn State Lady Lions +30 (85-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ervin 0 2-10 0-1 6-6 5 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
C. Reeves 0 3-13 1-3 0-0 5 3 2 1 5 7 0 -
M. Schlemer 0 11-19 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 24 9 -
D. Salisbery 0 1-10 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 -5 -
N. Allison 0 1-5 0-0 1-6 9 0 1 0 2 3 6 -

Penn State Lady Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lucas 0 8-16 1-5 2-2 3 4 4 0 1 19 13 -
N. Greene 0 5-5 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 2 11 15 -
M. Nickson 0 6-9 0-0 1-3 13 1 1 1 1 13 19 -
D. Taylor 0 1-6 1-1 4-4 3 4 1 1 1 7 9 -
A. Bentley 0 7-13 1-2 3-4 2 1 1 0 3 18 6 -

* = starter